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Category: Leaders’ TV debates

On the day of the C4/Sky News May/Corbyn event the Mail’s Quentin Letts tells TMay she’s a “glum bucket”

On the day of the C4/Sky News May/Corbyn event the Mail’s Quentin Letts tells TMay she’s a “glum bucket”

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The expression on TMay's face after Quentin Letts of the Daily Mail calls her a #glumbucket pic.twitter.com/2UTqLJt9C0 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 29, 2017 Tonight at 8.30pm we have the first big set-piece with TMay and Corbyn appearing before a live studio audience on Channel 4 and Sky News. They won’t debate directly with each other – TMay ruled that out from the beginning. But she’ll face questioning from the audience and from Jeremy Paxman. Neither leader is particularly good…

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Even though it is fighting fewer seats and had no MPs the BBC is favouring UKIP over the Greens in its GE2017 specials

Even though it is fighting fewer seats and had no MPs the BBC is favouring UKIP over the Greens in its GE2017 specials

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This morning the BBC announced it’s lineup of General Election specials. They are listed in the table above. Surprisingly UKIP, which has 377 seats is being given an Andrew Neil interview but the Greens, with 468 candidates, are not But unlike May, Corbyn, Farron and Sturgeon there will be no place for either the Greens or Nuttall in the Question Time Leader Specials. Last time it will be recalled that the BBC’s Question Time Leader special was probably the most…

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Marine Le Pen goes into the final 2 days behind in every French region except the one most favoured by Brit migrants

Marine Le Pen goes into the final 2 days behind in every French region except the one most favoured by Brit migrants

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The polls gave Macron the final TV debate by a huge margin Although it is polling day in parts of the UK the election that’s attracting the most bets (£25m matched so far on Betfair) is the final round for the French Presidency. Last night we had a marathon but engrossing TV debate between the woman the French courts ruled could be described as a fascist and the 39 year old ex-investment banker who is not linked to any of…

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Vote LEAVE is naive if it thinks it can black-ball Farage for the entire campaign

Vote LEAVE is naive if it thinks it can black-ball Farage for the entire campaign

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BBC News list of events planned so far And Cameron isn’t going face to face with a fellow Tory So far we haven’t seen any betting markets linked to the referendum TV debates but that’s likely to happen as this becomes a bigger issue following the Vote Leave reaction to the ITV event planned for June 9th. This is when Farage and Cameron are due to appear in the same programme although they won’t debate directly with each other. Clearly…

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Farage the 13/8 betting favourite to “win” tonight’s Challengers’ Debate

Farage the 13/8 betting favourite to “win” tonight’s Challengers’ Debate

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But don’t expect much polling Farage 13/8 PaddyPower Sturgeon 9/4 William Hill Miliband 3/1 Ladbrokes Wood 25/1 Bet 365 Bennett 28/1 Bet 365 It is perhaps an indication of how tonight’s event is being regarded is that there is going to be very little polling. Survation are doing a survey for the Mirror and as far as I know at the moment that is it. So the betting markets on who wins will be based on the Survation findings. I…

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David Herdson says Ed won the debate because Clegg and Bennett didn’t

David Herdson says Ed won the debate because Clegg and Bennett didn’t

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NIGHTMARE! Ed Miliband as PM, propped up by Alex Salmond ‘calling the tune’ if Labour gets into Downing Street pic.twitter.com/uNFHs5deTo — Grant Shapps (@grantshapps) March 9, 2015 Why for Dave the strong Sturgeon performance was a sideshow Earlier this campaign, the Conservatives unveiled the above poster showing Ed Miliband in Alex Salmond’s pocket; the inference being that in a hung parliament it would be the SNP pulling Labour’s strings. Nicola Sturgeon’s very capable handling of Thursday’s debate did nothing to…

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Debate day – some facts and figures

Debate day – some facts and figures

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Like the first debate in 2010 the location is Manchester. This time at Media City Salford Quays pic.twitter.com/EQmo5pR9kO — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 2, 2015 Interesting from @BBCNewsGraphics. Where the close races are. pic.twitter.com/TBu11ZfTz9 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 2, 2015 LAB retakes lead with Populus Lab. 34 (-), Con 32 (-2), LD 9 (+1), UKIP 15 (-), GN 5 (+1), — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 2, 2015 ENGLAND+WALES shares today's Populus onlineCON 33.7LAB 34.5LD 9.1UKIP 16.5This = CON to…

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Tomorrow night is Nigel Farage’s big opportunity

Tomorrow night is Nigel Farage’s big opportunity

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Farage’s ratings for a third party leader are pretty poor With the seven way debate upon us shortly, I was trying to see the circumstances that led to the Cleggasm in April 2010. Using the Ipsos-Mori leader satisfaction ratings as a proxy,  we can see how Nigel Farage’s net ratings compare to Clegg in March 2010. Then in April 2010 the public for a short time, ended up liking someone they already liked a bit more. Given that that Farage…

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