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Category: Leader approval ratings

The first phone poll since March has CON 5% ahead but Starmer with a net 32% lead on leader satisfaction

The first phone poll since March has CON 5% ahead but Starmer with a net 32% lead on leader satisfaction

Starmer’s numbers are the best for an opposition leader since Blair Today we heard something of a pulling rarity – a phone survey from Ipsos Mori – the first since March well before starmer became Labour leader. The firm is the only one still doing national phone political surveys which cost a huge amount more than online polling. One of the things I love about them is that it has been going for so long and maintains records going back…

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More dreadful leader numbers for Boris: Starmer moves to a net plus 34 in latest YouGov Well/Badly ratings

More dreadful leader numbers for Boris: Starmer moves to a net plus 34 in latest YouGov Well/Badly ratings

Another set of leader ratings has Johnson trailing a long way behind Starmer. The LAB leader has a net score (badly % deducted from Well %) of plus 27%. In the same poll with the same calculation Johnson is minus 7%. So that means a 34% net lead for Starmer. This is in line with other leader recent leader rating polling which asked different questions. The YouGov one here was its traditional “is X doing well/badly?” At the moment the…

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GE2019 Tory remainers – the key voting group who are giving Starmer positive ratings

GE2019 Tory remainers – the key voting group who are giving Starmer positive ratings

We are just over 3 years and 10 months from May 2nd 2024 which is the final date that the next general election can be held. That’s the time that the new Labour leader, Keir Starmer, has got in order to put himself into position where LAB can take enough seats to make the party electorally competitive. LAB’s seat total from GE2019 was 202 – the lowest total that the party has achieved since 1935. To get a majority Labour…

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Starmer moves to a 35% net approval lead over Johnson while all three polls tonight have the voting gap getting very close

Starmer moves to a 35% net approval lead over Johnson while all three polls tonight have the voting gap getting very close

And Boris only 1% clear as best PM It has been a big night of polling with three new surveys all showing the Conservative lead over Labour getting narrower. The voting numbers are: Opinium CON: 43% (-) LAB: 40% (+1) LD: 6% (-) SNP: 5% (-) GRN: 3% (-) Survation, CON 41% (-4) LAB 39% (+5) LD 7% (-1) GRN 4% (-) SNP 4% (-) BXP 1% (+1) Deltapoll CON 41% (-2) LAB 38% (-) LD 8% (-) OTH 13%…

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The case for making “personality” ratings a good electoral indicator

The case for making “personality” ratings a good electoral indicator

A guest slot from isam Last month, Keir Starmer appeared on the television in my front room to give his response to the Prime Minister’s Covid-19 statement. A few seconds later my eyes glazed over,  a few more passed and I switched the tv off saying “Jesus, he is dull”. It set me thinking that in a world of Reality tv, tiktok, snapchat, (none of which I am a fan of), and general instant gratification, (which I kind of am)…

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Another pollster has Johnson dropping sharply in its leader ratings while Starmer takes a net lead

Another pollster has Johnson dropping sharply in its leader ratings while Starmer takes a net lead

Can Boris get back to where he was? Ipsos-MORI, Britain’s oldest polling firm, has just produced its latest leader ratings and the trend is very similar to what we’ve seen from other pollsters. Johnson has taken a hit while Starmer has continued to rise. Clearly the PM’s lack of action over the Cummings lockdown road trip affair continues to grate with voters. With Starmer there are fewer don’t knows which are splitting in favour or the new LAB leader. This…

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In other news Starmer moves to a net 24% lead over Johnson in latest Opinium approval ratings

In other news Starmer moves to a net 24% lead over Johnson in latest Opinium approval ratings

A third of Tory voters disapprove of Starmer compared with three-quarters of LAB voters disapproving of Johnson The latest Opinium poll carried out before the Cummings lockdown affair came out overnight and the big change has been in the approval ratings of the PM and LOTO. The charts above show the recent trends. A big development is that for the first time Starmer has moved ahead of Johnson and he’s done it with a spectacular jump in just seven days….

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Starmer’s ratings are generally getting better as the number of don’t knows declines

Starmer’s ratings are generally getting better as the number of don’t knows declines

We are now in the 7th week of Keir Starmer’s leadership of the Labour Party and he could take some comfort about the general direction of his leader ratings which historically have been a better guide to election outcomes than voting intention polling. When Starmer first got the job on April 4th he was relatively unknown and that was reflected in the smallish proportion of those polled who had an opinion. Thus in his first week just 42% of those…

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