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Category: Leader approval ratings

Sunak continues to defy gravity in YouGov’s favourability ratings

Sunak continues to defy gravity in YouGov’s favourability ratings

YouGov have just updated their favourability trackers and as can be seen the Chancellor continues to ride supreme although still a long way down from his net plus 49% just at the start of lockdown. He, of course, has been making many of the key lockdown announcements on things like the hugely expensive furlough scheme and, of course, the changes on VAT and last month the cheap meals offer. It is the way he is seen, as portrayed in these…

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As Biden moves to evens on Betfair new Ipsos WH2020 poll has him leading Trump by 15% on favourability

As Biden moves to evens on Betfair new Ipsos WH2020 poll has him leading Trump by 15% on favourability

There’s a new ABC News/Ipsos WH2020 poll out with its first leadership ratings since the end of the conventions. As can be seen above Biden has moved 46% favourable in the latest poll which is up 6% over three weeks ago. He’s also seen his unfavourable numbers decline. Trump has gone the other way. He’s slipped from 35% favourable three weeks ago to 30% in this latest poll. His unfavourable ratings have remained pretty constant. I regard leader ratings as…

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Sunak still leads Starmer in “Best PM” polling but the gap is closing

Sunak still leads Starmer in “Best PM” polling but the gap is closing

We have referred before to this polling series from newbie pollsters Redfield Wilson which asks those sampled to choose between Starmer and Sunak as “Best PM”. The Chancellor has led throughout but as can be seen the gap is nothing like it was and is now at 3%. We have to take into account as well that for whatever reason R&W is just about the most Tory-friendly pollsters carrying out surveys at the moment and has been reporting bigger leads…

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Just a year and a bit after becoming PM Johnson finds him trailing in YouGov’s “Best PM” polling

Just a year and a bit after becoming PM Johnson finds him trailing in YouGov’s “Best PM” polling

But the same poll has the Tories 6% ahead One of the things about this regular polling question on who people would prefer as PM is that the incumbent generally gets a huge boost and it is only very rare that we have a finding like that from YouGov today which puts the LOTO in the top slot. To analyse what has happened I thought it might be useful to put the crossheads into to a chart as shown above…

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Polling Analysis: Amongst likely voters Opinium has Starmer with 4% lead over Johnson as best PM

Polling Analysis: Amongst likely voters Opinium has Starmer with 4% lead over Johnson as best PM

A guest slot from Wulfrun Phil on latest Opinium poll Published responses to supplementary polling questions are not routinely filtered to limit responses only to those likely to vote in a General Election. That can distort interpretations of “Best PM” polling, because only the responses from those who will vote are ultimately relevant.  Helpfully, Opinium provide so much rich detail in their data tables here that we can apply the filtering ourselves. In their latest poll, the full unfiltered sample…

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Disastrous favourability ratings for Johnson in Scotland but a glimmer of hope for Starmer

Disastrous favourability ratings for Johnson in Scotland but a glimmer of hope for Starmer

Regular PBers will know that at this stage before a general election I take much more notice of leadership ratings than voting intention polls. With the former those sampled are asked for simply an opinion whereas with voting questions they are asked to predict what they might or might not do in 3/4 years time when they could not even turn out. When tested in real elections such as 1992 and 2015 the leader ratings have got the outcome right…

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Starmer’s getting his lowest approval ratings in the CON seats that should be LAB’s main targets

Starmer’s getting his lowest approval ratings in the CON seats that should be LAB’s main targets

This chart is a follow up to the one on the previous header which looked at the PM’s approval ratings by what happened at GE2019 in groups of constituencies. As can be seen the Starmer approval ratings follow the same pattern with Corbyn’s successor getting positive numbers across the board but doing least well in those seats which were gained by the Tories at GE2019. Note that this isn’t just from one poll but the average for each group from…

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