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Irish General Election 2020 : Predictions & Review, Part One

Irish General Election 2020 : Predictions & Review, Part One

Last week, Leo Varadkar called an early Dáil Election. Will his choice backfire or will he get another term? Find out below. Michael Martin (Fianna Fáil) has been putting the pressure on few quite some time, Fine Gael only won by a handful of seats last time (2016 election) and Leo is now starting to feel the heat. Leo has made a handful of school boy errors and according to the recent polls, Michael Martin should be elected as the…

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In today’s unique national primary French Republicans are voting on who’ll be the one to take on Marine Le Pen

In today’s unique national primary French Republicans are voting on who’ll be the one to take on Marine Le Pen

The 2017 French Presidential election now the biggest political betting market There’s a unique election taking place in France today with members of the public who declare themselves to be Republican party supporters able to vote in a national primary to decide who’ll be the flag-carrier next April. The rules of the primary are straightforward. If no contender secures 50% of the vote today then the top two will fight again in a runoff next week. This is exactly the…

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Richard Nabavi’s guide to the Irish election part 2

Richard Nabavi’s guide to the Irish election part 2

Votes, Seats, Coalitions As I mentioned in Part 1, an understanding the voting system is essential to understanding Irish politics. There are 40 constituencies which this time will elect a total of 158 TDs, by Single Transferable Vote (STV). Each constituency elects either 3, 4 or 5 TDs. Voters rank the candidates. The first-preference votes are counted first. Any candidate who has enough votes to exceed the ‘quota’ (i.e. the total number of voters divided by one plus the number…

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Which Irish eyes will be smiling in 2016 – a look at next years Irish election by Richard Nabavi

Which Irish eyes will be smiling in 2016 – a look at next years Irish election by Richard Nabavi

Part 1: The Basics 2016 is set to be a bumper year for political betting, with the Holyrood, London Mayoral and US Presidential elections coming up. But first there is another contest which should provide some excellent betting opportunities: the Irish General Election. It’s time to start doing our homework. When? The last election was held in February 2011, and the next must be held by the 8th April 2016. There had been speculation that the Taoiseach Enda Kenny would…

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This week’s Politicalbetting/Polling Matters podcast puts the focus on Monday’s Canadian General Election

This week’s Politicalbetting/Polling Matters podcast puts the focus on Monday’s Canadian General Election

Will the Tories hang on? This week the Politicalbetting.com / Polling Matters podcast goes international and discusses the upcoming Canadian General Election that takes place on the 19th October. Is the Conservative PM Stephen Harper facing defeat to Liberal Justin Trudeau? How will the NDP do and how similar are Quebec and Scottish nationalism? Finally could the Canadian polls – currently showing the Liberals heading for victory – be wrong as the polls were in the UK? Keiran and Rob…

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Ukraine: how far will Putin go?

Ukraine: how far will Putin go?

Putin – Ukraine pic.twitter.com/WY52tRuycw — PolPics (@PolPics) March 7, 2014 The ripple effects of the Syria vote continue to be felt There are two sorts of country in the world: superpowers and everyone else.  Superpowers can – and often do – act as they see fit, constrained only by domestic factors or the opposition of other superpowers.  The rest exist only to the extent that the superpowers allow, a fact that this week’s events have brought into stark focus. The…

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