American think tank and pollster the Pew Research Centre have conducted some actual pew research. One in five respondents said they visited church recently but other data says that is more like one in twenty. In my humble opinion one of the reasons we have regular polling failures on both sides of the pond is that people give duff answers, particularly if it makes them look bad, God botherers are no different to the rest of us. Some people pretend…
No wonder why Trump’s lawyers are trying to delay his trials until after the election. A conviction before November could see a Biden landslide. TSE
INTRODUCTION Social issues in the United Kingdom are often done with one side or the other claiming to be on the “right side of history”. But their knowledge of history is usually lacking. So the question was: what does history actually teach us about the resolution of social issues? The history of gambling has much to inform us on this. Let me explain. 1000-1845: THE RICH AND POOR COLLIDE Throughout the second millennium gambling was divided by class and moderated…
The second of my threads on the forthcoming local elections looks at two southern coastal councils which should be the epitome of rock-solid Conservative territory but this year will be representative of that party’s current electoral strength or frailty. These are among eight District Councils which normally elect by thirds but which, due to boundary changes, are having all-up elections this year. Fareham sits between Southampton and Portsmouth. The local council (which also includes part of the Gosport constituency) has…
Redfield & WIlton have published a plethora of polling on the Tees Valley Mayoral polling and I feel a little bit shocked by this polling as my expectation was that the scandal around Lord Houchen would doom him but I share Lewis Baston’s take on the polling. One thing to look after the election is where the Reform do not stand where do their voters go? As Redfield & Wilton rightly point out it is rather silly to base assumptions…
The public really aren’t paying attention to the Rayner because it is very thin gruel. If the Tories want to damage Labour they will need another story because this one isn’t doing much. TSE
To be fair you’d expect a lettuce to be a better PM than Boris Johnson, Liz Truss, and Rishi Sunak but there is other polling which shows Sir Keir Starmer doesn’t scare voters in the way two time election loser Jeremy Corbyn did, it does indicate to me at least plenty of Tory voters will sit at home on election day. TSE
On Wednesday I wrote an article saying there was value in backing Andy Street at 4.0 in May’s election based on his personal approval ratings and yesterday there was a poll confirming my hunch was right. You can still get 3.25 on Street winning which I think represents value. TSE