He’s heading towards evens Over the last two to three weeks there has been a fair amount of movement in the Lib Dem leadership betting with money starting to go on the Oxford West & Abingdon MP Layla Moran and with the acting leader, Ed Davey edging out. The current 1.85 on Davey, a 54% chance, is the weakest price yet since the the vacancy became clear. At the same time money has been going on Moran and she has…
Keir Starmer: 32 Rebecca Long-Bailey: 7 Lisa Nandy: 7 Emily Thornberry: 3 After what has been the biggest night so far of CLP meetings the overall picture is looking broadly the same and the big outstanding question is whether the Shadow Foreign Secretary, Emily Thornberry will make the cut. Thanks to the excellent @clpnominations for his regularly updated Twitter feed for what is actually going on at the branch meetings keeping up an excellent running total of the LAB nomination…
Trolling Trump Inevitably this led to a Twitter explosion from Trump who has now dubbed the multi-billionaire as “Mini Mike Bloomberg”. According to Politico this is part of a deliberate strategy by Bloomberg who is benefiting in the polls as a result “It’s the latest example of how a plank of Bloomberg’s campaign revolves around agitating the president, who has increasingly begun criticizing his former mayor from New York, a self-made billionaire who has spent years belittling Trump as a…
What is absolutely certain the top political betting event of 2020 will be November’s US presidential election. Currently the incumbent. Mr Trump, is going through his impeachment trial at the US Senate while presidential hopefuls are going into the final phases of their campaign in the first state to vote on the Democratic nomination – Iowa with its caucuses on February 3rd. Until now PB has yet do a post on the the final election result in November. As can…
The withdrawal agreement bill has just cleared the House of Lords Britain is exiting the European Union The Brexit wars are over — Matthew Goodwin (@GoodwinMJ) January 22, 2020
Stamer’s big worry must be the length of the campaign We have not looked at the LAB leadership betting since Jess Phillips dropped out and as can be seen from the latest chart the man movement has been for Lisa Nandy . This follows her latest union nomination moving her to within a whisper of getting onto the members ballot that goes out in March. The remaining question is whether Emily Thornberry will make it onto the ballot. She is…
Quite often punters contact me about disputes they are having with bookies and this is a case where I think the bookie, PaddyPower is wrong. The bets the punter made were: When will Donald Trump cease to be POTUS? ‘2020 or later’ When will the next IndyRef take place (in Scotland)? 2020 or later’. When will alien existence be proven? ‘2020 or later’. In all 3 cases he expected PaddyPower to pay out after New Year’s Day. It is now…
Jeremy Corbyn is the most popular leader of the past century among Labour members (partly because a quarter don’t seem to know who Clement Attlee is) Corbyn 71% favourable viewMiliband 70%Smith 67%Attlee 66%Brown 65%Wilson 62%Blair 37%https://t.co/Zx9bgxPaaj pic.twitter.com/7nB3NIcE2z — YouGov (@YouGov) January 21, 2020 A reminder to LAB members about why so many GE2017 voters defected last month Mike Smithson