Browsed by
Month: October 2019

The LDs propose plan that would give Johnson a December election

The LDs propose plan that would give Johnson a December election

Comments 0 Comment

? NEW: A new plan tonight to offer Boris Johnson the pre-Christmas election he craves. ? The Lib Dems have drawn up a bill that would allow Johnson to secure a December election with a simple majority of MPs. Crucially, the SNP will back it. THREAD. 1/6 pic.twitter.com/gCWe9pwfPF — Michael Savage (@michaelsavage) October 26, 2019 Their plan would be that the bill, if adopted by Johnson, could be taken through parliament on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday. Parliament dissolves next Monday. Election…

Read More Read More

If there is no General Election then Bassetlaw could be the next big electoral test

If there is no General Election then Bassetlaw could be the next big electoral test

Comments 0 Comment

A Tory by-election gain would be in line with current polling numbers Next week the LAB MP for Bassetlaw, John Mann is quiting as an MP to take up a government role fighting anti-semitism. He’ll be elevated to the House of Lords. This means that there will be a vacancy which in the normal course of things should lead to a by-election most likely in December. If the government doesn’t get its General Election motion through on Monday then when…

Read More Read More

Extraordinary – Hillary Clinton now FIFTH favourite in the betting for the Democratic nomination

Extraordinary – Hillary Clinton now FIFTH favourite in the betting for the Democratic nomination

Comments 0 Comment

Betdata.io chart of Betfair market This is NOT a bet I would make With a hundred days to go before Iowa – the first state to decide punters continue to bet on Hillary Clinton for the Democratic nomination and she’s now rated as a 7% chance. I think that she would like to run but the chances are remote given the other contenders who have been gathering momentum. Sure she won the popular vote at WH2016 but Trump won several…

Read More Read More

Why I’m betting that Farage’s Brexit party will get fewer than 4 MPs

Why I’m betting that Farage’s Brexit party will get fewer than 4 MPs

Comments 0 Comment

Even at a time when Brexit totally dominating the news we are not seeing much of Nigel Farage who appears to be keeping a low profile at the moment. He’s opposed to the deal which has not endeared him to many of the party’s followers. His big problem, of course, is Johnson who appears to be dominating the pro-Brexit end of the market. He’s the one taking the battle forward while Farage has become an isolated figure of late. Given…

Read More Read More

On the day Johnson wants for his general election the UK sunset is the earliest for the year

On the day Johnson wants for his general election the UK sunset is the earliest for the year

Comments 0 Comment

Wikimedia commons Going dark so early will surely will have an impact We all know that the nights are very long in December when Mr. Johnson, wants to have his general election. This will be decided in the Commons on Monday. Looking through the times of sunset December 12th happens to be the earliest of the year throughout the UK this year. In London it goes dark at 1551 and it gets earlier the further you go up north. In…

Read More Read More

On the Betfair Exchange punters don’t think that MPs will vote for a December election on Monday

On the Betfair Exchange punters don’t think that MPs will vote for a December election on Monday

Comments 0 Comment

Chart Betdata.io Judging by the reaction from LAB MPs tonight it is hard to see Johnson getting the 434 votes he needs on Monday to back his December 12th general election plan. Of course there are the usual shouts of “chicken” to the main opposition party but we have been down this road twice before. Labour is not going to give its assent to a general election until a no deal Brexit is firmly off the table. In a sense…

Read More Read More

Biden drops to FOURTH in Iowa in by far his worst poll of his entire campaign

Biden drops to FOURTH in Iowa in by far his worst poll of his entire campaign

Comments 0 Comment

Biden drops to FOURTH in new Iowa poll. Iowa State University/Civiqs survey hasWarren 28%Buttigieg 20%Sanders 18%Biden 12% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 24, 2019 Those polled were also ask to list the candidate they do not want to win the nomination. Biden and Sanders topped this list. So not a good outcome for those aged 76 and more. The Buttigieg second place will attract most attention and this is by far his best position in any state or national primary…

Read More Read More

Let’s not forget that Johnson’s precarious parliamentary situation is largely self-made

Let’s not forget that Johnson’s precarious parliamentary situation is largely self-made

Comments 0 Comment

He inherited from TMay an effective majority of 3 The reason that Johnson is in such a weak parliamentary position stems directly from two big decisions that he has made. First there was the reaction to his first Commons vote when he stripped 21 of his party’s MPs from the whip. Then there was his Brexit agreement with its changes for the status Northern Ireland which have resulted in the DUP’s 10 MPs moving entirely to the other side. This…

Read More Read More