After a difficult week since the “deal” was published some welcome polling for TMay from YouGov
This is as negative for the ERG gang as it is positive for the PM
On the front page of the Times this morning there is a report on part of its latest YouGov poll relating to its TMay trackers asking whether and when she should go. Last week’s poll came just as the Brexit deal was being published and had the most negative numbers yet for the PM. In just a week as the chart above shows there’s been a major turnaround.
What’s particularly pleasing for Downing Street is that the party splits have supporters of all parties being more positive about the PM this week compared with last week with CON voters showing the biggest change. The latter wanting her to stay figures moved from 46% to 62% in this latest survey. LD voters moved from 40% to 56%.
These changes are well outside the margin of error and suggest that there has been a change in the way voters are viewing Mrs. May.
A week ago 43% who voted Conservative in the 2017 general election said that they wanted her to stand down. Now that’s 27%.
There were reports over the weekend that many Tory MPs were finding more positive support for Mrs May in their constituencies than might have been apparent from the media coverage.
I wonder whether the reluctance of the PM’s staunchest critics in the parliamentary party to send confidence vote letters to Graham Brady has been because they detected a change in the public mood.