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Month: October 2016

Situation critical. How the NHS could affect the path of Brexit

Situation critical. How the NHS could affect the path of Brexit

That £350m “commitment” could be damaging The debate in Britain about health spending is fundamentally dishonest.  The left constantly press for large increases in spending.  The government constantly boasts about ever-increasing spending at or above inflation levels.  Voices on the right frequently argue for scaling back the health services that the public sector provides.  None of them address what Britain needs. Britain’s health needs are growing at a rate far faster than inflation, even if one uses measures of healthcare…

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The Richmond Park battle with Zac is an absolutely must win for the LDs

The Richmond Park battle with Zac is an absolutely must win for the LDs

If they can’t recover here then they are in trouble To be frank I had been getting concerned about what we’d be doing on the site after the November 8th US election. PB is at its best when there are real elections taking place and there are real things to bet on. So I was absolutely delighted to get the news that we are to have a by-election in Richmond Park where Zac Goldsmith has quit because of the Heathrow…

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UPDATED Heathrow expansion to go ahead: Zac Goldsmith resigns

UPDATED Heathrow expansion to go ahead: Zac Goldsmith resigns

Exclusive: @ZacGoldsmith resigns pic.twitter.com/asanAlwT5b — Martha Gill (@Martha_Gill) October 25, 2016 In Richmond Park constituency the EURef split wasREMAIN 72%LEAVE 28%Zac was a leaver — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 25, 2016 As had been widely predicted Theresa May’s government has decided to go ahead with the expansion of Heathrow. A third runway will be added to the two that have been in place there for 70 years. A short time ago Zac Goldsmith announced that he was quitting his Richmond…

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Updated UKIP leader betting and some of the controversial Tweets

Updated UKIP leader betting and some of the controversial Tweets

Latest UKIP betting across range of bookies. It looks like Nuttall v Evans pic.twitter.com/19dPRWiKBT — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 25, 2016 What Raheem Kassam Tweeted about Nicola Sturgeon Inside the mind of UKIP leadership contender Raheem Kassam. A Tweet, via @AdamBienkov he sent in June – now deleted. pic.twitter.com/fvZUcf4sga — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 23, 2016 And others.. Raheem Kassam says his many tweets like this were "acerbic and a bad joke …I've said some bad things & I'm sorry"…

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The Telegraph does a sting on the Trump campaign and finds that it’ll accept illegal foreign donations

The Telegraph does a sting on the Trump campaign and finds that it’ll accept illegal foreign donations

Exclusive investigation in Telegraph : Donald Trump faces foreign donor fundraising scandal https://t.co/1mjGOhco8j — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 24, 2016 After the England soccer manager, can the Telegraph investigations team topple the Donald? https://t.co/ANEnfyO74q — TSE (@TSEofPB) October 24, 2016 This has replaced the previous thread posted a couple of minutes ago

After decades we should be getting the Heathrow expansion decision tomorrow

After decades we should be getting the Heathrow expansion decision tomorrow

Whatever the political fireworks will begin It has been an awful long time coming but we are promised that the long awaited decision on the expansion of Heathrow will come tomorrow. It’s reported that TMay and other ministers on the airport subcommittee will meet before cabinet. It is being speculated that we could get an announcement before the markets open because it is felt that this is so politically sensitive. Theresa May herself will make a Commons statement at 12.30….

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Why you shouldn’t rely on the BREXIT experience as a pointer to a Trump victory

Why you shouldn’t rely on the BREXIT experience as a pointer to a Trump victory

Amazon The elections are not as comparable as they might appear There’s an ongoing argument that’s being made every day that Donald Trump can take heart from the fact that the BREXIT polling, betting and forecasts were wrong. Certainly there’s little doubt that in broad terms he appeals to the same demographic groups that backed LEAVE. He’s tapping into much of the anger that we saw in the referendum. In the betting we’ve also got what we experienced ahead of…

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This analysis might well disprove the theory of Shy Trumpers

This analysis might well disprove the theory of Shy Trumpers

Also Trump didn't over-perform his polls in the primary. If anything the opposite happened. pic.twitter.com/UFVO6BvRLe — (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 22, 2016 If there are ‘Shy Trumpers’ you’d expect Donald Trump to have outperformed the polls during the primaries and caucuses. One of the more interesting theories posited during this White House race on why Donald Trump will become President is that the polls are wrong because there are shy Trumpers not being picked up in the polls. With Donald…

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