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Month: August 2016

The latest Farage farrago, Douglas Carswell is accused of helping the Tories defeat Farage in Thanet South

The latest Farage farrago, Douglas Carswell is accused of helping the Tories defeat Farage in Thanet South

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A story that has been overshadowed by #Railgate but is vastly more important & entertaining. https://t.co/TfJGd7ko9O pic.twitter.com/dhEmxOFked — TSE (@TSEofPB) August 25, 2016 Can or will Douglas Carswell remain a UKIP MP if senior Kippers are making these allegations? Forget traingate this is the political story of the week, although I can sympathise with those who say a UKIP internal squabbling story is up there with a dog bites man story, but this story has achieved that rare feat, leaving…

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I’m not sure a Jeremy Corbyn led Labour Party is equipped to endure the white heat of a six week general election campaign

I’m not sure a Jeremy Corbyn led Labour Party is equipped to endure the white heat of a six week general election campaign

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Labour leader @JeremyCorbyn reluctantly answers a question from @DMcCaffreySKY on #TrainGate https://t.co/nLPGEP48Xs — SkyNews (@SkyNews) August 24, 2016 Under Jeremy Corbyn Labour are ceasing to be a serious political party and in danger of turning into a The Thick Of It tribute Perhaps I’m being unduly harsh on Jeremy Corbyn, but the clip above of his press conference yesterday was a mixture of the downright embarrassing and painful to watch, all because of Traingate. All politicians make gaffes, or their…

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The PB/Polling Matters podcast on the future for LAB & probes whether a Corbyn victory is inevitable

The PB/Polling Matters podcast on the future for LAB & probes whether a Corbyn victory is inevitable

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On this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast we continue the new format of the show where each guest picks a polling or elections topic to talk about and the group discuss it. On this week’s show Keiran Pedley is joined by former BBC journalist and Labour press officer Don Brind who regularly contributes to the PB site and is currently working with Saving Labour on Owen Smith’s leadership campaign. Also joining Keiran is Harry Carr who is a political analyst at…

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Betting on a united Ireland referendum happening by the end of 2020

Betting on a united Ireland referendum happening by the end of 2020

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Prior to June 23rd, there was a strong push from Remain that a Leave victory could lead to a united Ireland, Paddy Power have a market up on whether there will be a referendum on such a matter by the end of 2020. A 2011 poll found ‘more than half of Catholics in Northern Ireland want the long-term future of the North to be as part of the United Kingdom, while only 16 per cent of the overall population favour a united…

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Big message from #Traingate: Virgin/Branson don’t think Corbyn’s got a remote chance of ever making it to Number 10

Big message from #Traingate: Virgin/Branson don’t think Corbyn’s got a remote chance of ever making it to Number 10

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Virgin wouldn’t have been so emboldened if they’d thought JC was ever going to be PM Ed Miliband fmr advisor Matt Lazo: "If Virgin thought Labour was going to win & took Labour seriously, they wouldn't have released this" — BBC Newsnight (@BBCNewsnight) August 23, 2016 TIMES: Rail company accuses Corbyn of dishonesty #tomorrowspaperstoday #bbcpapers pic.twitter.com/LmeaY2e175 — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) August 23, 2016 Huge coverage overnight of the Mr. Corbyn’s little affair on the train to Newcastle and I thought…

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Whatever the rights and wrongs of “#Traingate” Corbyn needs a better PR organisation

Whatever the rights and wrongs of “#Traingate” Corbyn needs a better PR organisation

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The afternoon has been dominated by what’s now become #Traingate – how the film of Corbyn having to sit on the floor of a Newcastle-bound Virgin train two weeks ago might not have been all it seemed. I don’t want to go into the rights and wrongs here because I just don’t know. As a very regular traveller on that line I have a lot of sympathy for the Labour leader. Services can get packed and finding seats can be…

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Smith should acknowledge that JC’s the likely winner and press for the highest possible vote to “send a message to the party”

Smith should acknowledge that JC’s the likely winner and press for the highest possible vote to “send a message to the party”

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The challenger needs to change strategy This morning there’s been another effort by the Smith campaign to claim that “private polling” suggests that the battle is close and that he could win. This might or might not be right but until we see a proper selectorate poll showing something different the overwhelming narrative will be that that JC is heading to hang on to his job. There’s no point in the Smith campaign making assertions which are simply not believed…

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Use your political forecasting skills to enter the 2016 PB Labour leadership PRIZE Competition

Use your political forecasting skills to enter the 2016 PB Labour leadership PRIZE Competition

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Simply record here Smith or Corbyn;your predicted winning margin & turnout Thanks to Mark Hopkins and his NoJam widget we’ve prepared another PB Prize competition. Simply predict who’ll win the LAB contest and the winning margin. There’s a tie-breaker question as well – the turnout. Your predictions should be to two decimal points and the competition will close at 1900 BST tomorrow night. The two entrants who are closest will win in addition to the bragging rights copies of what’s…

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