Browsed by
Month: February 2016

Local By-Election Results : February 25th 2016

Local By-Election Results : February 25th 2016

Comments 0 Comment

Key: Death Resignation Kingswinford North and Wall Heath on Dudley (Con defence) Result: Conservative 1,456 (54% +11%), Labour 934 (35% +8%), United Kingdom Independence Party 262 (10% -17%), Green Party 52 (2% -1%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 522 (19%) on a swing of 1.5% from Labour to Conservative St. James on Dudley (Lab defence) Result: Labour 847 (46% +1%), United Kingdom Independence Party 554 (30% +2%), Conservative 427 (23% -1%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 293 (16%)…

Read More Read More

Clinton and Trump dominate in the build up to “Super Tuesday” when 12 states decide

Clinton and Trump dominate in the build up to “Super Tuesday” when 12 states decide

Comments 0 Comment

It is hard to argue that this won’t be the November line-up The dramatic developments over the past week in the EU referendum have somewhat sidelined what has been the most crucial week so far in the WH2016 battles for the Democratic and Republican party nominations. In the betting both Hillary and Trump have seen their odds tighten sharply following the latest state contests. Last Saturday Clinton squeezed a victory over Bernie Sanders in the Nevada caucuses while Trump had another hugely emphatic…

Read More Read More

2016 Oscar betting: Roger marks your card

2016 Oscar betting: Roger marks your card

Comments 0 Comment

…….. and now for something completely different 2016 Oscars. The most competitive year I can remember and an unusual one. Nine Irish nominations in the major categories though none for blacks which has led to Spike Lee calling for ‘a blackout’. Also interesting though unlikely to cut much ice here 12 times nominated ‘The Revenant’ was the highest grossing film of all time in Russia.  (WARNING: Just a reminder of my track record. I’m the one who in 2005 said…

Read More Read More

Local By-Election Preview : February 25th 2016

Local By-Election Preview : February 25th 2016

Comments 0 Comment

Key: Death Resignation Kingswinford North and Wall Heath (Con defence) and St. James (Lab defence) on Dudley Result of council at last election (2015): Labour 38, Conservatives 25, United Kingdom Independence Party 7, Independent 1, Green Party 1 (Labour majority of 4) Result of ward at last election Kingswinford North and Wall Heath (2014): Conservative 1,704 (43%), United Kingdom Independence Party 1,090 (27%), Labour 1,071 (27%), Green Party 131 (3%) Candidates duly nominated: Lynn Boleyn (Lab), Mick Forsyth (UKIP), Edward…

Read More Read More

In a week dominated by the EU UKIP’s Douglas Carswell is this week’s PB/Polling Matters special guest

In a week dominated by the EU UKIP’s Douglas Carswell is this week’s PB/Polling Matters special guest

Comments 0 Comment

In this week’s episode Keiran Pedley interviews UKIP MP Douglas Carswell about his political journey, thoughts on the EU referendum campaign, the future of UKIP and whether he might rejoin the Conservatives in the future. At the beginning of the show Keiran also gives his brief analysis on Trump’s win in Nevada and recent polling of Labour Party members. You can follow Keiran at @keiranpedley

There was a similar phone/online polling divide at the last national UK referendum

There was a similar phone/online polling divide at the last national UK referendum

Comments 0 Comment

Phone polls trounced online ones in the 2011 AV vote I get asked several a week at the moment for a view on online phone divide that we’ve seen over the EURef. Which is better I’m asked and I’m reluctant to come down on one side or the other. At the general election the final polls from both modes were in the same ball park although during the official campaign period the phone firms were much more like to report…

Read More Read More

Trump makes it three states in a row as he moves even closer to the nomination

Trump makes it three states in a row as he moves even closer to the nomination

Comments 0 Comment

 He’s now 1/2 to be the Republican choice The big news in the White House Race is that Trump had another emphatic victory in last night’s Nevada caucuses. This means he’s now made it three states in a row and is now a clear favourite to secure the nomination. It is not just the fact of victory that has been so striking but he’s winning by huge margins. Rubio came in second place in Nevada but a long way…

Read More Read More