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Month: November 2015

Betting on a UKIP by-election upset in the absence of hard polling

Betting on a UKIP by-election upset in the absence of hard polling

More from Aby Tomlinson – the energetic LAB campaigner who tweeted about the responses she was getting in Oldham pic.twitter.com/idnhv91aa9 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 30, 2015 Alastair Meeks gives his view Oldham West & Royton should have been a spectacularly boring by-election.  It is a previously-safe Labour seat held at the last general election by a leftwing MP with a thumping majority and an absolute majority of votes cast.  To gain it, UKIP would require a swing of 17.1%. …

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New large sample poll finds just 43% of GE2015 LAB voters saying they approve of Corbyn as party leader

New large sample poll finds just 43% of GE2015 LAB voters saying they approve of Corbyn as party leader

The more educated you are the more likely you’ll approve of JC as LAB leader This is a new venture by Ian Warren of Election Data who in the run-up to GE2015 provided analysis for two of the main parties. He devised the questions and provided the analysis. YouGov did the fieldwork. The initial release relates to just English adults – other parts are to follow. Overall amongst the entire sample Corbyn had 23% saying they approved of him with…

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Welcome to week 13 of Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership

Welcome to week 13 of Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership

His supporters now saying that EdM was a Tory This looks set to be massive political week with Syria and, of course, on Thursday the first by-election of the 2015 parliament. Just about everything in British politics is now looked at through the prism of the impact on Labour’s new leadership. Is Corbyn going to try to impose a whip on his party to oppose Syrian air-strikes and what happens to his party either way? The by-election is looking tighter…

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The favourite to be next Labour leader has now decided he wants Corbyn’s job

The favourite to be next Labour leader has now decided he wants Corbyn’s job

Interesting story by @janemerrick23 https://t.co/mXdQ4UKs8v pic.twitter.com/DDOuwO7bZW — TSE (@TSEofPB) November 29, 2015 Someone in the Parliamentary Labour Party is going to have to take one for the team if they want Corbyn gone. In today’s Independent on Sunday, Jane Merrick writes I understand that [Dan] Jarvis now wants to be Labour leader – and when a vacancy arises he will go for it. He is not perfect, and he will not be the only candidate. Yet Jarvis can count on…

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The latest Jeremy Hunt betting

The latest Jeremy Hunt betting

Another story that hasn’t received the coverage it deserves is the problems Jeremy Hunt is having with junior doctors, but with the first junior doctors’ strike scheduled for this Tuesday, that will change.  But people like David Cameron and George Osborne are aware of how important the NHS is, a few days ago, The Spectator reported that Another area where Osborne is determined to keep putting in extra resources is the health service. He believes it was Cameron’s NHS commitment that was…

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The Tory bullying scandal claims the scalp of ex-party chairman, Grant Shapps

The Tory bullying scandal claims the scalp of ex-party chairman, Grant Shapps

BBC News Could this take the media pressure off Mr. Corbyn? Until now the ongoing Tory bullying scandal has been largely over-shadowed by the events within LAB. This could possibly change following this afternoon’s resignation from his post as a minister of the party chairman at the General Election last May, Grant Shapps. All this follows the apparent suicide two months of 21 year old CON activist, Elliott Johnson, whose body was found by the East Coast main line at…

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So what happened to the long-term plan, George?

So what happened to the long-term plan, George?

Labour’s current travails have hidden the Chancellor’s own problems George Osborne is fond of saying that he’s fixing the roof while the sun is shining. Well, this week he decided to knock off early and catch some rays. After all, what’s the rush? It’s not going to rain overnight. Mañana. Nor will it rain economically tomorrow, next week, next month and in all probability, next year. The economy is growing healthily, employment and wages are rising, inflation remains subdued, consumer…

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