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The polls might be pointing to a comfortable LAB majority – but punters aren’t convinced

June 30th, 2014

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LAB’s chances now rated at below 30%

Buying Tramadol In The Uk We’ve not looked at the overall GE2015 betting markets for some while but over the three and a half months since the budget there has been a steady decline in LAB prices with a tightening of both the hung parliament possibility and a CON majority.

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go to site Check on the chart above to see how things have changed since the budget. A LAB majority down from nearly 40% to 29.8%; CON majority up nearly 5% to above 44% and the Tories rated by the markets as a 25.6% chance.

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source Just to note that these are calculated by taking the last traded price on Betfair and expressing it as a percentage.

here For value Tory punters can do far better by going onto the single constituency markets. Labour punters are best served by risking their cash on the national outcome.

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Tramadol Online Overnight Mastercard I’ve not yet gone in but if the LAB majority price edges a bit down further we’ll reach a stage where it is a really good value bet.

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Get Tramadol Online Uk go to site Upcoming polling: This afternoon there’ll be the Lord Ashcroft phone poll followed by another phone poll later in the evening. Tomorrow sees Lord Ashcroft publishing his LAB-LD marginals survey.

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Mike Smithson

2004-2014: The view from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble

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