Tory backbenchers warn “Cameron may have to break up the coalition to remain leader”

Tory backbenchers warn “Cameron may have to break up the coalition to remain leader”

The Sunday Times is reporting that (££)

“A growing number of the talented 2010 intake of MPs, who could play a key role in deciding Cameron’s fate, now believe their party should withdraw from the coalition at least a year before the next general election in 2015.

They believe Cameron may have to lead a minority government to save seats.

“We are the ones who are going to be picking up the pieces if we go down in 2015. The prime minister may have to choose between insisting on staying in the coalition and keeping his job,” one respected 2010 MP said.”

What makes this story interesting is as the Sunday Times reports that this isn’t the usual suspects, who make no secret of their disdain for the Lib Dems.

The Sunday Times also reports the usual suspect Adam Afriyie

Now has enough secret pledges of support to trigger a “no confidence” vote in the leader.

However, his supporters do not believe this is the time to strike.

What may be focusing the minds of these MPs is the bottom left front of the front page of The Sunday Times, which is reporting

Tory donors eye UKIP in revolt against Cameron, which includes some of the party’s most prominent and largest donors publicly expressing their doubts over Europe and or gay marriage.

This follows on from the news in the last 24 hours that City firms switching from Tories to UKIP, says Nigel Farage


The other thing that maybe focusing the minds of Tory MPs is the latest Survation poll.



This is the second poll from Survation that shows UKIP only two points behind the Conservatives, proving their poll earlier on in the week was no outlier.

As Mike said a few days ago, the Tories collapsing the coalition leads to an early general election.

The best odds I can see at the moment for a 2013 General election is 12/1 with William Hill and for a 2014 General election is 11/2, with both with Corals and Paddy Power.

A full range of odds on the year of the next election can be viewed here.

Ladbrokes offers odds on Cameron being replaced as leader before the General Election at 5/2

Whilst Paddy Power offer that  David Cameron, before the next election

To face no leadership vote of confidence – 4/11

To face a leadership vote of confidence and win – 4/1

To face a leadership vote of confidence and lose – 9/2


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