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The share of the GB vote required for an overall majority – your interactive checker

April 25th, 2013

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get link The above is based on data from Professor John Curtice on what vote leads LAB and CON require to put them over the threshold of 326 to win an overall majority at GE2015.

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Tramadol Online Cheapest This is, of course, calculated on a uniform national swing (UNS) in each GB seat. At GE2010 the Tories over-performed UNS by a bit.

follow site For the Tories more than LAB, click the tab on the chart, the LD share is critical. At a 10% yellow share the Tories could theoretically get by with a lead of just 5.9%. There are several factors that can skew the UNS:-

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    Tramadol Online Overnight Cod Incumbency – where the MP is standing again. All parties saw a benefit at GE2010 with the LDs enjoying the biggest bonus.

    Cheap Overnight Tramadol Cod First time incumbency where the sitting MP gets an extra bonus. enter Targeting of marginals by all the parties can see disproportionate changes.

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    Purchase Tramadol Overnight Cheap Tramadol Online Overnight Saturday Delivery Tactical voting either increasing or unwinding. The big message, as I am sure we all know, is that the threshold for Labour is a few points lower than the Tories. The number crunchers have yet to find a way of including Ukip.

Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news

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