Browsed by
Month: June 2012

Is the potential for Labour simply much greater?

Is the potential for Labour simply much greater?

YouGov And the blues have got bigger negatives? The chart above is from a new YouGov poll for Prospect when respondents were asked the following question:- “On a scale of 0 to 10, where 0 means you would never consider voting for them, and 10 means you would definitely consider voting for them, how likely are you to consider voting for the following parties at the next election?” It should be noted that each respondent was asked in turn about…

Read More Read More

Has Boris decided that Gove must be squashed?

Has Boris decided that Gove must be squashed?

Is education policy becoming a leadership battleground? An intriguing battle is in prospect between the two Tory politicians who are most on the up at the moment – the victor against all the national trends in the London election last month and the cabinet minister seen by many as the most successful whose reputation was enhanced by his Leveson appearance. The big political story in London in the past 24 hours is the news in the Evening Standard that Boris…

Read More Read More

Tories 5 times more concerned about EU/€ than LAB voters

Tories 5 times more concerned about EU/€ than LAB voters

Ipsos-MORI Why the big MORI difference between the parties? The monthly Ipsos-MORI issues index for June is just out and concern about the EU/€ than has edged up 2% to 8% – where it was in April. This polling has been carried out in exactly the same way for more than a third of a century and involves asking people to name a many issues that concern them without being prompted. Given how the Eurozone crisis has dominated the headlines…

Read More Read More

Can the tax scams ever be stopped?

Can the tax scams ever be stopped?

Will the Jimmy Carrs always find a way? Well done to the Times for its brilliant expose of the K2 tax arrangement under which Jimmy Carr and others are said to have reduced their income liability to just 1%. At a time of austerity and cuts this is the sort of behaviour that makes people furious even if it is technically legal. Osborne’s response has been spot on but will the tax dodgers always find a way? In any case…

Read More Read More

Will relaxing immigration controls be a vote winner or a loser?

Will relaxing immigration controls be a vote winner or a loser?

How much of a gamble is Obama’s liberalisation move? There’s a fascinating debate going on amongst US political pundits over the electoral impact of Obama’s relaxing of immigration controls. Last week he announced an executive order which has the effect of stopping the federal government from deporting illegal immigrants under the age of 30 who came to the US before age the age of 16. To qualify they have to have lived in the US for at least five years,…

Read More Read More

The overnight thread – and a plug for Marf

The overnight thread – and a plug for Marf

This Sunday in Hampstead PB’s cartoonist, Marf, is doing a special drawing session on Sunday in Hampstead in North West London. Details are above. Best of luck for the day Marf. Meanwhile this is the overnight thread. Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB

A MORI double whammy for Salmond and the SNP

A MORI double whammy for Salmond and the SNP

Three weeks into the campaign and NO increases lead There’s a new telephone poll from MORI of Scottish voters and the results are not encouraging for Alex Salmond or his party in their effort to secure a YES vote in the 2014 Independence referendum. On top of that the SNP leader sees a decline in his satisfaction ratings although they still remain positive. These are some of my Tweets. MORI Scotland: Salmond’s leadership ratings see sharp drop. He’s down a…

Read More Read More