How much is his survival dependent on YouGov?
Last Monday HenryG Manson, our regular Labour columnist, posted the following about the Labour leadership:-
“There is no way in the world Ed Miliband will be allowed to lose the next election. If it looks like he cannot win then heâ€™ll be gone. MPs, grassroots and unions all desperately want to win outright and failing that be largest party. Iâ€™ve never known the movement soon focused and hungry â€“ more so than 1994. If Ed Miliband isnâ€™t delivering the goods then heâ€™s gone. Simple as that. I hope he succeeds but thatâ€™s how it is.”
As we saw another poll ovenight, from ComRes, has Labour on the decline and well under the 40% threshold. The only pollster that consistently has Labour above the 40% threshold is YouGov and only has had the party below that level twice in its last 160 surveys.
I just wonder what Ed’s prospects would be if the News International daily poll contract was with ICM which has not had Labour at 40% or above for several years. As it is that firm does just one poll a month.