Labour’s PAPA share drops to a 2011 low
The latest PAPA – the Politicalbetting All Pollsters’ Average is just out and has Labour dropping below the 40% mark for the first time this year.
The calculation is based by taking an average of the most recent polls from the firms that do regular political polling. If a firm does not publish a survey for more than a month then their numbers drop out.
| Poll/publication | Date | CON % | LAB % | LD % | OTH % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICM/Guardian | 03/05/11 | 36 | 37 | 15 | 12 |
| Populus/Times | 10/04/2011 | 36 | 40 | 11 | 13 |
| Ipsos-MORI/Reuters | 17/04/11 | 40 | 40 | 9 | 11 |
| ComRes/Indy on Sunday (phone) | 03/05/11 | 34 | 37 | 15 | 14 |
| YouGov/Sun | 04/05/11 | 36 | 40 | 11 | 13 |
| Angus Reid | 10/04/11 | 31 | 42 | 11 | 16 |
| ***PAPA*** | LATEST | 35.5 | 39.3 | 12.0 | 13.2 |
UPDATE: The final Angus Reid AV poll is out and has a 61-39 split to NO. For details see here.
