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Month: May 2011

Labour loses its ComRes phone poll lead

Labour loses its ComRes phone poll lead

The latest ComRes phone poll for The Independent has Labour and the Tories level pegging on 37% which is the first tme since October 2010 that the red team has not been in the lead. This is only the second telephone survey since the May 5th elections and comes from the pollster that came in a respectable second place with its final AV poll. The LDs are down three to 12 while support for other parties, including the SNP, UKIP…

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Will Michael Crick emerge as the punters’ hero?

Will Michael Crick emerge as the punters’ hero?

Is Huhne going to “be toast” or not? The first big Chris Huhne market, whether the LD energy secretary will still have his cabinet place by the end of the month, will be resolved at midnight and unless there’s something dramatic during the day it’s hard now to see those who gambled that he’d be out winning. On top of that there’s been the betting on which minster will be next out of the cabinet which has fluctuated harply. A…

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Could the coalition continue even if there’s a Tory majority?

Could the coalition continue even if there’s a Tory majority?

Senior aides say this is what they want According to Tim Montgomerie at Con Home there’s a report by Rachel Sylvester in tomorrow’s Times that says that aides to Cameron and senior Tory ministers want the LDs to stay in government even if the Conservatives win a majority at the next election. Rachel Sylvester apparently says that there’s a view that Lib Dems are essential to ensure any Tory government isn’t held to ransom by “unreconstructed elements” amongst the blues….

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Can Labour open up the Tory EU wounds?

Can Labour open up the Tory EU wounds?

Guardian Could the blues be vulnerable on the bail-out costs? Patrick Wintour in the Guardian has an interesting piece about a Labour plan to “to work with Eurosceptic Tories to reduce the size of UK contributions to the bailout of troubled eurozone nations and to cut the timescale of UK liability.” He writes: “Labour is weighing up an alliance with increasingly fractious Tory Eurosceptics over two specific issues likely to return to the Commons in the next few months –…

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Could Labour’s polling position just evaporate?

Could Labour’s polling position just evaporate?

Ten weeks in Scottish politics – what are the lessons? I’ve been meaning to put up this chart for some time because I’m sure that the polling experience leading up to the Holyrood election on May 5th will be referred to time and time again. This shows the regional list where the changes were most pronounced. From a position just ten weeks before election day where Labour had a 14 point lead over the SNP voters on the day gave…

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Next to exit the cabinet betting? BUY Lansley – SELL Huhne

Next to exit the cabinet betting? BUY Lansley – SELL Huhne

Sunday Telegraph Extracts from the Sundays The Indy on Sunday: “Chris Huhne, the Energy and Climate Change Secretary, has dominated the headlines for three weeks now. The intensity of media interest is justified by the seriousness of the allegations against him. It is not so much the matter of an eight-year-old alleged speeding offence. It is the allegation that he asked someone else to take his penalty points, which would be an attempt to pervert the course of justice. And…

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