New pollster Opinium also finds a move to the blues

New pollster Opinium also finds a move to the blues

Opinium (Daily Express) Mar 15 Mar 8
CONSERVATIVES 39% 37%
LABOUR 28% 30%
LIB DEMS 16% 16%
LAB to CON swing from 2005 6.5% 4.5%

The first published Opinium poll for the Daily Express was only last week and now we have a second. The trend is sharply to the Tories which reinforces what we saw earlier with ICM.

Opinium operates on-line with a polling panel and like other firms that operate in this way it is reporting much bigger shares for others. YouGov would have bigger number for this segment but for its weightings.

The firm, like Angus Reid’s UK operation, is led by a former YouGov manager and is just starting to establish itself on the polling scene.

It 28% share for Labour is the lowest from any firm this year apart from Angus Reid.

Still to come tonight – the YouGov daily poll.

Mike Smithson

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