Not enough of the GE2019 CON vote is going LAB The above chart is based on data from tonight’s YouGov poll for the Times and seeks to show how the 2019 Tory vote is currently viewing the next election. The big worry I would have if I was Starmer is that the party is not picking up enough of the Tory vote from last time. Getting just 12% of them points to a real struggle next time when one would…
Looking at the detail from the world cloud then the views of leave voters seem to have changed more than the reviews of remain voters. That fits with other polling which is now suggesting that it will be about 58 to 42 Remain if there was another referendum. But there isn’t going to be another vote and the most interesting feature head is how will the presumed incoming Starmer government deal with Europe? My guess is that it will be…
Does the “Liar sleep tonight” One of the big stories in US politics at the moment has been on George Santos who last November gained the Long Island seat in the US House of Representatives for the Republicans. The reason this is so big is that many of the things that he has said about himself have proved to be total fabrications. These include lies about his mother being in the twin towers on 9/11 and him being Jewish. What…
One thing that we have learnt from political history is that if the government wants to take on a group of strikers then it must have the support of the public. That is not happening with the current wave with the public generally supporting those who want pay increases in line with inflation rather than what is being offered. The crunch starts next week when teachers and nurses are joining the action which is right across the public sector. Sky…
Mike Smithson
The Standard is reporting: Rishi Sunak’s popularity is sinking as the Government continues to be hit by controversies in the middle of the cost-of-living crisis and wave of strikes, a new poll revealed on Monday. The Ipsos survey for the Standard found that 32 per cent of adults believe he has what it takes to be a good Prime Minister, down ten points from November, with 43 per cent disagreeing, up nine points.He has fallen behind Sir Keir Starmer, on 36 per cent for having PM qualities, and…
The Tweet from ex-PBer Alastair Meeks last night certainly chimed with me because it has become a betting nonsense that Andy Burnham remains the favourite to succeed Starmer. Burnham, it might be remembered, has failed twice before to become leader and is the mayor of Greater Manchester. The only way he could be nominated for the Labour leadership is if he is an MPs which he isn’t. Those betting on him for the leader completely ignore the huge transformation that…