Looking at that chart it is understable why people think the Tories are doomed. Unlike the period between March 2012 and May 2014 when the Tories led by David Cameron didn’t lead in the polls there were enough clues in the supplementaries that the country prefered David Cameron over Ed Miliband, and George Osborne over Ed Balls but right now that situation doesn’t exist for Sunak where Starmer leads on pretty much every metric. My expectation is that we will…
I suspect Robert Jenrick’s resignation has shot that particular fox as his letter is a gift to the opponents of the Tories, Even before Jenrick’s resignation fighting an election on Rwanda would have been a courageous strategy, particularly in the light of this. I don’t think this will be a trigger event to see a vote of confidence in Sunak but I’m not going to stake much money on that assumption. TSE
TSE
I try not to be condescending but are 16% of the country gullible idiots? These are the people who scammers target. These are not ratings of somebody who could win a general election, I suspect the ratings will get worse in light of the story in The Times and his evidence to the inquiry. TSE
TSE
Last night’s vote loss on the contaminated blood scandal is further proof of Sunak lacking the political judgment and antennae that God gave pistachio nuts, Sunak must wish he could dominate the way Truss did with the Commons. TSE
I think this is a sign that the electorate really want to be rid of the Tories, but that’s just my take on things. TSE
The answer, of course, to the question in the headline is no, but it does increase pressure on Sunak if he now seen worse than Liz Truss with key voters, this is a long term trend, as Bloomberg observe Just 59% of voters who backed the Conservatives under Boris Johnson at the 2019 election are sticking with the party under Sunak, the report found. That’s down from 74% in August 2022, and from 63% in the aftermath of Truss’s disastrous “mini-budget” in…