Archive for the 'Competitions' Category

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Only one PB Oldham competition entrant over-stated Labour in the by-election and he wins by a huge margin

Saturday, December 5th, 2015

Congratulations and the prize to Michael Paterson

The sensational Oldham result took all but one of the 320 PB competition entrants by surprise. Michael Paterson wins the prize of the Cowley/Kavanagh book of the 2015 general election

Here’s a full list of all the entries in winning order.

Thanks again to Mark Hopkins of Nojam for providing the excellent competition widget.

Mike Smithson





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Win the definitive book of the 2015 General Election in the PB Oldham by-election competition

Tuesday, December 1st, 2015

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Will the collective view of PBers once again get the outcome right?

Using the bespoke NoJam template you will need to enter vote shares down to 2 decimal points for the parties. The prize will go to the person with the smallest overall error.

With previous PB by-election competitions the collective view of PBers has been a pretty accurate guide to the final outcome. Let’s see if we can do it again.

All the entries can be seen here. As usual I am in my absolute discretion the total arbiter of all matters relating to the competition. Entries close on Wednesday at 1700 GMT.

I am pleased to announce that Palgrave has agreed to provide a prize of a copy of the Cowley/Kavanagh book on GE2015. The winner will receive the prize once the book is published later this month. I find that past volumes in this series are an absolutely vital resource and record of what happened together with insightful psephological analysis. They are also a good read.

Click on the menu to check what others are doing and the overall summary prediction.

Thanks to Mark Hopkins Nojam for creating the competition widget.

Mike Smithson





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PB competitions results

Saturday, September 12th, 2015

Results

The results are in and the winner is David. Many congratulations on your victory. Mike Smithson will contact you on how to claim your prize.

Many thanks are due to Mark Hopkins of Nojam for creating the  competition widget and to William Hill for providing the competition prize.

The summary of results is available by clicking here

The full spreadsheet of entries is available by clicking here.

TSE



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Predict the winner and first round shares in the LAB leadership ELECTION in PB’s prize competition

Tuesday, September 1st, 2015

The closest will get a £100 free bet from William Hill

Using the bespoke NoJam template you will need to enter vote shares down to decimal points for four contenders as well as naming the overall winner of the election. The prize will go to the person with the smallest overall error who has correctly named the winner.

I am delighted to announce that William Hill has agreed to provide a competition prize of a free £100 bet. If the winner does not have an account then he/she will have to open one to receive the prize. This is only open to people over the age of 18.

Al the entries can be seen here. As usual I am in my absolute discretion the total arbiter of all matters relating to the competition. Entries close on Thursday at 10pm.

Click on the menu to check what others are doing and the overall summary prediction.

Thanks to Mark Hopkins for creating the competition widget.

Best of luck.

Mike Smithson





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The PB GE15 competition: Results from the April round

Sunday, May 10th, 2015

Congraulations to Mortimer who wins the prize

Above is the full spreadsheet from our April prediction competition.

Sporting Index, which is sponsoring PB’s General Election coverage, is providing a competition prize of £200, payable into the winner’s SPIN account. If the winner does not have an account then he/she will have to open one to receive the prize.

Could Mortimer send me an email so I can arrange for the prize? Email.

Help keep PB going by making a donation to support the site's costs

Mike Smithson




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The second big PB GE2015 Commons Seats Prediction Prize Competition:

Wednesday, April 15th, 2015

How many seats of the 632 GB seats will each party get

In February we ran our first competition using the Nojam.com template. Clearly things have moved on since then and this is the second wave. Entries will close AFTER the debate tomorrow night.

I am delighted to announce that Sporting Index, which is sponsoring PB’s General Election coverage, has once again agreed to provide a competition prize of £200, payable into the winner’s SPIN account. If the winner does not have an account then he/she will have to open one to receive the prize. This is only open to people over the age of 18.

The first competition will be decided separately. Check you February entries here.

This is about predicting seat totals – NOT vote shares



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After this week’s “pollercoaster” now YOU predict the election in PB’s Prize Competition

Wednesday, February 18th, 2015

Win a Marf cartoon & a betting prize GE15 Competition Phase 1


Using the bespoke NoJam template you will need to enter seat totals for the main parties. The winner will be the person with the smallest overall error.

The plan is to run several competitions as we get closer.

I am delighted to announce that Sporting Index, which is sponsoring PB’s General Election coverage, has agreed to provide a competition prize of £200, payable into the winner’s SPIN account. If the winner does not have an account then he/she will have to open one to receive the prize. This is only open to people over the age of 18.

In the next few days the firm will have a bigger range of GE2015 markets up.

On top of that there will be a special prize – a signed Marf print of the winner’s choice of a cartoon that has appeared on the site.

As in all PB Competitions my rulings on all matters shall be final.

Mike Smithson

For 11 years viewing politics from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble




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Will Jim Murphy arrest Labour’s slide in the Scottish polls or will it get worse? Enter the competition

Sunday, December 14th, 2014

What’s the December Record/Survation poll going to show?

There’s little doubt that the biggest uncertainty about next May’s general election is what’s going to happen in the 41 seats that Labour currently holds in Scotland. If recent polling turns out to be right they could be left with barely half a dozen of them – an outcome that could have a catastrophic impact on the party’s hope to return to power.

It is in this context that the new leader of Scottish Labour, Jim Murphy, takes on his new role watched by an ever attentive Scottish media. How will the new man impact on the polls?

My understanding is that fieldwork for the December Daily Record Scotland poll by Survation will start this week and its findings will be eagerly awaited.

    What is your guess of what the poll will show? Last month it was SNP 46, LAB 24, CON 17, LD 6. What will be the change in in terms of number of percentage points to the SNP lead to two decimal points?

The precise figure will be calculated from the pollster’s detailed data. If you think that Labour will be in the lead then enter a minus number for the SNP margin.

The three closest entrants will receive the new excellent new e-books by PBer Andy Cooke, the Fourth Lectern and the Fifth Lectern. These are a fascinating counter-factual about what could have happened if UKIP had had a lectern in the 2010 TV debates.

Thanks to Nojam for once again producing a competition widget. My rulings on all matters associated with the competition are final

The competition closes at 2200 tomorrow.