Ukip surge to record high in first post-local election YouGov/Sun poll

May 8th, 2013

But Farage’s party would still get zero MPs

The Electoral Calculus Commons seat predictor has been revised to factor in Ukip nd other parties. Check it out here.

Martin Baxter, the former Cambridge and now City Mathematician who runs Electoral Calculus reckons that Ukip need to get to 24% before they starting picking up seats.

This latest YouGov poll is the first on record that has the Tories in the 20s, LAB in the 30s and the LDs in single figures – suggesting that the purple surge is at the expense of all parties.

Mike Smithson

For the latest polling and political betting news