— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 23, 2013
The key factor is that the Tories will appear unified
Whether the offer of an EU in/out referendum in 3-4 years becomes the policy that provides the platform for the Tories to win an overall majority I do not know but I believe today’s big speech will lead to a polling boost to the blues.
The main reason is that they will appear unified which is a key ingredient in winning support. Many CON 2010 voters who’ve been telling pollsters “don’t know” could return to the fold and the blues could see some Ukip votes switch back.
This will mean that the blues will start to close the gap in the short-term with LAB which will change the betting.
Accordingly I’ve now taken my profits and closed down my LAB majority betting positions.
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