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UKIP just 10 points behind the Tories in new TNS-BMRB poll

December 10th, 2012

Farage’s party now double the LD share

It’s hard to know what to make of this afternoon’s poll from TNS-BMRB which has the most sensational polling figures of any survey since the general election.

UKIP appear to be the main beneficiary from Tory’ woes as they pick up another 4% to rise to 16%. UKIP have now increased their poll share with the firm by nine points over the last three weeks.

It should be noted that the results for the Conservatives and UKIP are at the extreme end of what other polling companies have recorded over the last week and, as ever, it is important to not view individual polls in isolation. However, these findings do suggest that the Autumn Statement has done the Conservatives no immediate good.

The firm has yet to establish itself with national polling and in 2010 came near the bottom of the polling accuracy table.

Hopefully we should be seeing surveys from the established phone pollsters over the next week.

Mike Smithson

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