The gender voting intention split in the 8,103 sample in the Ashcroft phone poll. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st…
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 21, 2012
We often talk about gender splits in different polls but as we all know subsets can be subject to quite large margins of errors.
The new Michael Ashcroft telephone poll with its massive 8,103 sample should give us a better picture which is why I have highlighted the numbers.
To put that into context the monthly ICM poll for the Guardian just interviews 1,000 people. This is eight times as large.
The male:female split is not as extreme as we sometimes see but my guess, based on the sample size, is that this is probably about right.
Interestingly the CON shares are almost the same – it’s LAB and UKIP where we see the biggest variation.
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