— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 20, 2012
It could be 3 weeks before we know the winning margin
It’s two weeks now since Barack Obama won his second terms – but the counting goes on and it could be three weeks before we have a definitive winning margin down to 2 decimal points on which we can award the prizes.
In many states absentee ballots (postal votes) are valid provided their post-mark is the day of the election.
It’s reckoned there are several million votes still to be counted and as the process continues Obama’s lead on the popular vote seems to grow. My reckoning is that it could get to 3.50%.
Three prizes of free bets from William Hill will be awarded with £500 going to the closest.
Thanks to PBer AndyJS who is doing a great job maintaining the total here and on Wikipedia.
If two or more entrants have the same prediction then the first one to have posted it on the thread will take precedence.
Best of luck those still in with a shout.
UPDATE The latest figures from AndyJS are Obama 50.75% – Romney 47.6%
Help keep PB going by making a donation to support the site's costs
For the latest polling and political betting news