Ohio (18 electoral college votes)

Virginia (13 electoral college votes)

Florida (28 electoral college votes)

Iowa (6 electoral college votes)

This is heading for a very tight outcome and as Nate Silver concludes – Obama’s swing state firewall is very brittle.

My current betting position is that I’m on Romney but am “all in the green” at Betfair which means that I don’t lose any money whatever happens.

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