Plus the latest RCP averages from the key swing states
OHIO (2008: Obama +4.6, 2004: Bush +2.1)
VIRGINIA (2008: Obama +6.3, 2004: Bush +8.2)
FLORIDA (2008: Obama +2.8, 2004: Bush +5.0)
In a new article on the excellent 538 blogNate Silver makes the following observation about the impact of the 47%.
“After aÂ secretly-recorded videotapeÂ was released on Sept. 17, showing Mitt Romney making unflattering comments about the â€œ47 percentâ€ of Americans whom he said had become dependent on government benefits, IÂ suggested on TwitterÂ that the political impact of the comments could easily be overstated.
â€œNinety percent of â€˜game-changingâ€™ gaffes are less important in retrospect than they seem in the moment,â€ I wrote.
But was this one of the exceptional cases? A week and a half has passed since Mr. Romneyâ€™s remarks became known to the public â€” meaning that thereâ€™s been enough time to evaluate their effect on the polls.Thereâ€™s a case to be made that they did damage Mr. Romneyâ€™s standing some.”
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