On the voting intention it is
Conservatives 32 (+1)
Labour 42 (-2)
Lib Dems 11 (-1)
Despite their lead being reduced, Labour will be delighted with a ten point lead with a phone pollster.
On the leadership ratings.
David Cameron has seen an improvement from a net rating of minus 27 in July to a net rating of minus 16 this month.
Ed Miliband has also seen an improvement, in July his net rating was minus 18, this month his net rating is minus 2.
So overall, Ed Miliband’s lead over David Cameron has widened by 5 points in a month.
Nick Clegg’s net satisfaction ratings are minus 27, an improvement from the net minus 38 in July.
- A clear majority of voters think that all three main political parties put the interest of their party before the national interest. Sixty-nine per cent think that the Conservative Party puts their own interests first, 63% the Liberal Democrats and 59% the Labour Party.
- The Olympics may also have slightly affected people’s predictions for the economy over the next twelve months. Two in five (43%) now think the economy will get worse compared to 16% who think it will improve. Forty per cent think it will stay the same. This gives an Economic Optimism Index (EOI) of -27, an improvement on the July EOI of -32.
- The Olympics feel-good effect does appear to be limited in the context of Mr Clegg’s statement on House of Lords reform and the Liberal Democrats decision to vote against the boundary changes for the 2015 election. Since last month, there has been little change in public perception of the Coalition.
- Just over half (54%) say the Coalition is unlikely to last until 2015 while two in five (39%) think it will. In July, 40% said it would last.
Head of Political Research at Ipsos MORI, Gideon Skinner, said:
“The party leaders and the Government are benefitting from an upbeat public mood generated by the Olympic Games. Even this, however, cannot overcome public scepticism that the Coalition is divided, and that all parties tend to put their own interest above the national interest. The question is whether this feel good factor will last.”
Ipsos MORI interviewed a representative sample of 1,007 adults 18+ across Great Britain by telephone, from August 11 to 13 2012.
Mike Smithson is currently on holiday