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Romney becomes an even tighter favourite on Betfair

March 2nd, 2012

Is there anything that can stop him now?

The big news from the polling ahead of the nominating contests in the eleven states that decide tomorrow or on Tuesday is that Mitt Romney is on a roll. PPP have him 5% ahead in tomorrow’s caucuses in Washington state.

The latest from Ohio, Santorum’s big hope, is that Mitt is closing the gap with one poll having him 4% ahead and the other just 2%. If Santorum is overhauled there it is hard to see how he can get back into the race.

Betfair’s betting chart above says it all. The movement is all in one direction.

@MikeSmithsonOGH




  • Anonymous

    Yes, Leveson should nail the DT for paying for stolen expenses data.

  • Sunil McPrasannan

     ”Roger Helmer is a massive….”
    :)

  • Anonymous

    Iain Martin is typical of the bitter misanthropes who inhabit the DT. His stint at WSJ didn’t last long – he was found out.

  • Anonymous

    No Surbiton is wrong since the – what shall we call it – ‘the chippinjg norton set’ stories and meetings meal whatever with Mr and Mrs Brooks have been run before. A bit like the blair brown meetings with Mr and Mrs Kemp before that.
    The issue of one of their horses being a loaned police horse is risible but pointless.
    The story is that after investigating Mrs Kemp/Brooks nee Wade and her Labour supporting newspapers and after reporting to a Labour home secretary and bearing in mind her comment to a Labour chaired committee about paying police for information, the Met saw fit (during the period of a Labour govt) to loan her a horse.

    What motives could the police have to enter into a cosy relationship with a Labour supporter, a confident of Blair and Brown, and lend her a horse?

  • The Screaming Eagles

    I do know, I was merging the roles of consuls and Dictators, taking the best of both worlds, plus I see the similarities between Cameron and Caesar.

  • MickP0rk

     

    @MichaelLCrick: UKIP source says Conservative MEP Roger Helmer will announce tomorrow he’s defecting to UKIP

    That should help bring on the eurosceptic spring.

    How will Cammie Blair cope when his backbenchers start to grumble about the IMF Euro bailouts or even start another push for an EU referendum?

    They still remember how fast Cammie ran away from that referendum and his three line whip against them. And now today they will have been reminded of just how pitiful and ineffectual Cammie’s flounce was as well as Ireland getting a referendum while they still wait for Cammie to grow a pair of balls.

    Now imagine eurosceptics seeing the prospect of yet another referendum but this time on Lords reform being mooted.

    Poor old eurosceptics. It’s not just Cammie who’s been taken for a ride.

  • Anonymous

     @PeterMannionMP: UKIP source says Conservative MEP Roger Helmer will announce tomorrow he’s defecting to 1953.

  • Anonymous

    If Cameron had been obsessed with PR he would have arranged better presentation for the Health Bill. Liebour were the kings of spin and still have some practitioners.

  • Plato

    Perfect. Helmer is just the sort of divisive publicity seeker carper that UKIP is short of – oh…

    They must be delighted.

    As a colleague of mine once said:

    “Our gain is your loss”

    ;^)

  • The Screaming Eagles

    As with the defection of Shaun Woodward, Roger Helmer defecting to UKIP has managed to increase the average IQ of both parties. 

  • Anonymous

    Although, according to Quinnipiac and Rasmussen Ohio still leans to Santorum, Ohio is truly make or break for Santorum if he is going to keep the race a contest!!

  • http://twitter.com/MorrisF1 Morris Dancer

    Consuls were also only there for a year, I believe.

    Hmmm.

    Some here say Cameron’s lucky, and Caesar certainly was. Pompey wasn’t stellar but he was a cut above Miliband.

    Better to wait until after the whole period has ended to try and compare chaps to those from history.

    Now that you’ve raised years, the Lib Dem desire for 15 year terms for ‘Lords’ is bonkers. It’s as bonkers as the Swedish Nymphomaniac Association’s tour bus.

  • francis

    True the economy is the main problem, but our own pockets are affected by devolution, mass immigration, political correctness and multiculturalism.

  • rodwarner

     ’Every time I see a post from Tim or SO I get this image of them sitting
    at the comp wearing the front or back end of a panto horse..they have
    really blown it with this one, talk about backfiring’
    ‘Tap your hoof once for Coulson, Dobbin, twice for The Boy…’
    My Lord Prescott would make a good pantomime Dame.  Tijuana Jack Dromey as female lead, Harriet H as Principle Boy…

  • Anonymous

    Correct – lapsis just contradicted himself 3 times over. Cameron and the govt are not doing PR.  Hilton taking a year off is a good thing.  Blair became too dependent on and manipulated by Campbell.  The popular satirising of his relationship with Campbell was damaging to him.

  • TimT

    Arabs as huge beasts, lol.  We have eventing and dressage horses.  Nothing much less than 17 hands.  So thoroughbreds look small to us.  Odin, sired by a 17 hand thoroughbred out of a 17+ hand Clydesdale mare, was 19 hands before his 3rd birthday.  Now that’s a huge beast

  • MickP0rk

    Cameron tries to try and castrate the eurosceptics with his own pet grouping.

    Is revolution underway on the Tory backbenches?

    Is there a fracturing of opinion on the Conservative backbenches? A host of new groups have sprung up hoping to influence the party’s direction on issues from Europe to public services. Some share members, some seek to counterbalance colleagues’ views.

    One of the 301 founders, the Keighley MP Kris Hopkins, wants to use the group to concentrate Conservative minds on the NHS and other public services, as well as more traditional Tory territory such as immigration and Europe.

    “This is about making sure there’s a more rounded, representative conversation, like those ones happening in every household out there, and every business out there,” said Mr Hopkins.

    Recently a 301 member, George Hollingbery, was elected to the executive of the 1922 Committee in a by-election, and there are indications that the new group will run a whole slate of candidates for the 1922 executive, when it is re-elected in full in May.

    The redoubtable right-winger Peter Bone, who sits on the ’22 executive, said he welcomed the new groups, but questioned the independence of the 301 Group.

    “The question that’s been posed is, is the government trying to control the backbenchers through the 301? Now that would mean an enormous constitutional crisis for the party if that were the case,” he said.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-17225582

  • The Screaming Eagles

    But you can’t be elected for a year, after 6 months you’d be planning your re-election bid. 

    You need at minimum a 4 year term in this country. One of my friends said Cameron = Caesar

    Clegg = Mark Antony

    Osborne: Octavius/Augutus.

    We’re still trying to work out who Brutus et al are though.

  • The Screaming Eagles

    New thread

  • Anonymous

    Syria

    I’ve been looking at map of events and incidents over the last few days and no doubt about it, the Free Syrian Army has melted away over the last week.  Its a wise move, when a conventional enemy comes at you with overwhelming conventional force, you get out of the way

    They still get involved in ambushes, still launch attacks on convoys still do some protection of demos but the opposition focus now is on the street protests that still continue all over the place.

    The  question is where have the insurgents gone? Some have broke for the border some into areas where Assad’s army hasn’t got the strength. And that is Assad’s problem, his army was stretched, it still is, the borders are leaky and most of the heavy fighting has been done by around 3 divisions and additional internal security troops

    At least the protestors and insurgents know now that outside parties are blow hards and that they are on their own. The main offenders it seems are the USA and Turkey who yet again have talked and done nothing.

    Despite the crushing of many areas via bombardment and armour, this thing isnt over yet.

     

  • Anonymous

    ‘Conservative MEP Roger Helmer, who has been accused of homophobia, has resigned.’ (Pink News, Oct 2011)Poor old UKIP.  Will you be cheering him on?I think you will find it was Brown who ran away from the referendum and the Tories voted against the Lisbon treaty.As ever you get everything wrong.

  • Anonymous

     Riding horses around the pyramids or out to the desert ones was a great pasttime when I lived in Cairo. We hired horses from a stable which looked like a small shop front but went back and back like the Tardis. He had a hundred or so horses there.

    The owner, Abdul Nabi was the man riding the camel in the opening shots of ‘Laurence of Arabia’.

  • Anonymous

    At least it was not forged.  The Guardian has still not admitted that the key document in its Heartland Institute report was faked.

  • Nick Palmer

    Interesting. He’s indicated for some time that he’s unhappy with the Tory position, but he offered t stand down as MEP to let the next person on the list replace him. However, as I recall he says he then learned that the party had doubts about the next person and wanted to put in a loyalist, or something like that? – anyway, he decided to stay on.

    He is, in my opinion, a possible future UKIP leader. I’ve debated him on climate change in front of an audience that was strongly hostile to him – he put his views calmly and forcefully and declined to be provoked.