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Will Miliband’s plan do anything about these perceptions?

January 10th, 2012

Nearly two years on and LAB still being blamed

Apart from the HS2 decision the big UK political news today has been Ed Miliband’s big speech on the economy and how a future LAB government would operate.

A particular point was his promise that in order to win in 2015 “Labour would be “a different party from the one we were in the past”. He also said they were ready to take on “vested interests” and “deliver fairness”.

All fine words but will it tackle what I believe is LAB’s biggest challenge – dealing with the perceptions of how it ran the economy when it was in government.

Today coincided with the publication of YouGov’s latest “blame game” data. Here the firm asks in the same form that it has been doing since 2010 “And who do you think is most to blame for the current spending cuts?”

I like standardised findings like this because you can look back over the record and see trends. All the YouFov findings on this since the general election can be found on page 18 of this PDF.

My view remains – unless LAB can close this gap then it will struggle to achieve a majority.

Mike Smithson @MikeSmithsonOGH




  • tim

    Clegg’s a genius.

    “while the Liberal Democrats would have lost the most relative to their size as a party with 43 MPs, rather than 57 under the current system.”

  • Anonymous

    My certified way to get Scotland to vote “NO”

    Make it clear:

    1) Wimbledon will no longer be presented by Sue Barker, Pat Cash and John McEnroe – instead it will be Dougie Donnely, Judy Murray and Gerry McNee. Ditto the Olympics – the athletics will be covered by Chic Young.

    2) No more Sherlock, Eastenders or David Attenborough wildlife programmes from the EBC – Endless repeats of River City.

    3) No more MOTD from the English Premier league. Extended Sportscene to cover the Scottish 1st division ie Ross County vs Queen of the South.

    4) No more Jools Holland’s Hootenanny on New Years Eve – Jackie Bird will present a Hue and Cry reunion concert.

    This is what independence really means.

  • Anonymous

    As CoE representing a Scottish seat and elected by Scottish voters Darling was a key figure in the G20 deal that rescued the world from meltdown in 2009. That strikes me as a pretty compelling story. As Ireland and Iceland discovered, no-one was immune from that cluster-fook, but neither had a role to play (or has a role to play) in trying to find a solution. Scotland, by contrast, played a major and, I would argue, a very valuable role. That sounds like a very positive story to me, though obviously I am biased!

    Likewise, Alexander, Reid, Miurphy and co can directly refute claims that Scotland has no influence within the UK. They had plenty – and they were all elected solely by Scottish voters.

    Now, of course, that may not work as an argument. But I cannot think of a better one. If the Scots reject it, so be it. But it strikes me that the case for Westminster and the UK is best made by Scots who have been elected to Westminster and have held senior office in the UK government. 

  • RodCrosby

    slightly worse for Labour, better for Cons and Nats than first thought…

  • MickP0rk

    ” What I’m wondering is how much you know about ordinary people in Scotland who would prefer to remain in the UK.”

    Plenty thanks since I live here. Family members disagree on it as do work colleagues and people from all walks of life. But nobody I know has been impressed by Cameron’s intervention and you’ll struggle to find many who are outside hardcore scottish tories.

    “Fair” doesn’t mean Cameron blundering in and telling the scottish people he should dictate the referndum terms and makiing blustering threats about court action. Not from a tory PM who couldn’t even win a majority in westminster and has a scant few scottish MSPs. We understand perfectly well what a mandate is and Cameron simply doesn’t have it to blatantly interfere and try to dictate his terms in the scottish referendum. He is perfectly entitled to make his views known and indeed we welcome that, but the inept Osborne “strategy” he’s following is stupidity on a colossal scale and is well, well, beyond coherently stating his view on independence and the union.

    And I’m afraid if the best you can do is complain that someone who doesn’t agree with you is partisan then perhaps politics isn’t for you.

  • RodCrosby

    I think that’s out-of-date, based on the crappy guardian algorithm…

  • Anonymous

    Don’t worry about Scotland.  The Scots will never vote for independence.  I know them.   They’re frit.   For some reason many years ago I was sitting in a Glasgow cinema watching the film ‘Mrs Doubtfire’ in which Robin Williams dresses up as, clearly, a Scottish nanny, but is repeatedly referred to as ‘English’.  There was not a peep of protest from the watching Scottish hordes; that is because most Scots, whilst undoubtedly a complete pain in the arse, are really quite normal, definitely not nationalists.  

  • Anonymous

    Any sort of referendum wasn’t in any of the unionist party manifestos-if it got a mention the proposed date was NEVER rather than the NOW being touted.

    I see that the “Panda” reference to “Scottish” Torie(s) has now gone viral so I will add to that by pointing out that Cameron is suffering from the Panda credibility problem.

  • Charles

    For Cameron…?

    LOL

  • Anonymous

    Agree can be a bit dodgy in the suburbs. OK if you’re visting friends etc, but all along the Sukhumvit Line the place buzzes.

    April for me this year, I’m afraid. Songkran celebrations. January in 2013.

  • MickP0rk

    “So we are spending 32bn to reduce the current 82 minute fastest time for London to Birmingham down to 45 minutes?”

    THERE IS NO MONEY LEFT!!!!

    ;^)

  • tim

    Cleggs genius.

    After spending all his life arguing for a more proportional electoral system this is what he’s got.

    Before Lib Dems enter govt 23% of the vote gave them 9% of MPs.
    After being in govt 23% of the vote gives them 7% of MPs

  • MickP0rk

    You sound exactly like those who opposed devolution pongo.

    How did that turn out again?

  • Mike Smithson

    The overnight NH thread is up

  • RodCrosby

    If Crick’s right, combined with the Wells data for Scot/Eng I get

    Con 298 (inc Speaker)
    Lab 231/2
    LD 46/7
    Nats 8
    NI 16

  • Anonymous

    That’s nearly 25% of the parliamentary party, isn’t it? I can see LibDem MP’s happily marching through the division lobbies to support that.  

  • MickP0rk

    Actually I flagged up Osborne’s amusing hypocrisy over his IMF u-turn yesterday.

    Were you busy downloading you orders from your borg leader Mitt at the time ? :-)

  • Anonymous

    Jackie Bird is a dedicated unionist-she will seek asylum on English TV :-)

  • Anonymous

    Fascinating watching PBers go sometimes.

    40/40/10

    Yet one leader is a genius, the other is appalling. Definition of partisan much.

    Interestingly the ”10″ leader never gets talked about on PB for some reason (apart from when he upsets Tories by daring to Disagree With Them). 

  • Neil

    “Cameron has played a blinder. If you are a Tory.”

    Eh? But for ages your line was that devomaxwas going to be the end of Labour and Cameron is trying his best to avoid devomax.

  • Anonymous

    That you repeatedly use terms like ‘Cammie Blair’ can leave an impression of partisanship in fairness, as it is petty and distracts from argument, though for my part I will say that though I disagree with you (or at the least, where I do agree, am not happy about the subject when you are) on this whole independence malarky, I have not found discoursing with you as unyielding, frustrating  or offensive as I find with the most intense on any side.

    I apologise if that sounds condescending – I mean it as a compliment (heh – now that is a trap I imagine unionist south of the border often make, eh? I wouldn’t know)

  • Neil

    You’re offering EVENS on the independence referendum being lost? How thick do you think people here are?!

  • Anonymous

    I find the 10 too depressing to dwell on, quite frankly (more on a ‘downfall of a strong third party’ basis than a personal one, although I do feel Clegg has been ruined as a politician in future and that is a shame). But yeah, I don’t like Ed M, he has not as yet made me think Labour are a valid alternative to current Coalition policies, I do not want him to be the next PM, but his detractors really seem to stretch to see something ‘terrible’ even if  there is something to the argument that given the awful situation we find ourselves in he is probably disappointed not to have daylight between him and the Tories.

  • Richard Howell

    As a Scottish Nationalist, you want a referendum on Scottish independence. You want the Scottish Parliament and Executive to have control over the referendum process. It is unlikely that the Scottish Parliament has the power to hold a referendum on independence, as I have been posting for months. The Scottish Office’s legal advice agrees with me. Cameron has proposed to submit an Order to Her Majesty in Council to give the Scottish Parliament such powers. What are you complaining about?

  • Anonymous

    I think Miliband is around twice as good as the PB “consensus” reflects, and Cameron twice as poor.

    Crunching the numbers, it comes out somewhere near the Mori leader ratings – neck and neck ish – whod’ve thunk it!

    I completely agree re Clegg and the Lib Dems. I actually like Nick Clegg. I like the Lib Dems, generally (though they could do with burning the likes of Laws and the Rodent at the stake). It’s desperately sad to see them in a potentially life-threatening position.

  • MickP0rk

    “the G20 deal that rescued the world from meltdown in 2009.”

    Sure he was.
    And while he was at it he stopped an evil supervillain in his volcanic lair from destroying the world with one blast of Darlings unstoppable BORE power.

    That strikes me as a pretty compelling story.”

    It certainly is but sadly not for the reasons you think.

    I thought labour knew better than to wheel out the “I saved the world” gaffe by now. It was funny for a reason and it’s the same reason Brown was booted out on his arse.

    “Likewise, Alexander, Reid, Miurphy and co can directly refute claims
    that Scotland has no influence within the UK. They had plenty”

    Indeed they did. And we will welcome an airing of all they did at the time.

    I hate to break it to you but labour got a spanking in their heartlands for a reason and it quite clearly wasn’t because they are  tories or lib dems but because they weren’t seen as being an effective opposition or that their time in government was seen as a roaring success.

    ” Now, of course, that may not work as an argument. But I cannot think of a better one.”

    Which is the unionist tragedy and always will be.

    I know precisely what would work but I’m not about to tell the unionists how to get their act together. It’s also sadly too late for some of it because while EdM was concentrating all his efforts on trying not to be crap he left SLAB’s root and branch reform in the hands of an arch Blairite who wants his job.
    Now wise, not clever and now he reaps the whirlwind.

  • IoS

    So no majority for the Tories still.

    No Devomax
    No boundary change majority
    No saving of the economy

    Running out of reasons why you are going to increase your seats and win a majority Tories.  Maybe you should stop treating your coalition partners like such crap.

  • Anonymous

    “No more Jools Holland’s Hootenanny on New Years Eve – Jackie Bird will present a Hue and Cry reunion concert.”

    You do know that’s what BBC Scotland currently show on Hogmanay, right?

  • Anonymous

    IoS

    you should learn arithmetic.

    600 seats less 5 Sinn Fein = 595

    298 = majority of 1.

  • Anonymous

    No .. we are not..do try and catch up..

  • IoS

    AlanBrooke

    LOL That includes the speaker.  But you can keep him.  It doesn’t matter.  You couldn’t govern with 20 let alone a cheeky 1.

  • slade

    Confined at home today with a chest infection so was able to indulge myself with watching the live coverage of Parliament. I saw the two statements on HS2 and the Scottish referendum and the subsequent questions. I have to say I was quite impressed with both Justine Greening and Michael Moore. They were both clear in delivery and on top of their brief. Perhaps more importantly they treated the House with respect and affection. It probably helped that they had a generally favourable audience. The only sour moments were Greening’s putdown of Chris Bryant and the rubbishing of the SNP MPs by members on all sides

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Joe-James-Broughton/100000156082097 Joe James Broughton

    Ed Balls is doing the Tories a big favour, annoying though he is.
    He just encapsulates so vividly the financial mess this (new) government inheritied and is grappling with.