h1

LAB extend lead to 4pc with ComRes online

November 19th, 2011

This month’s ComRes online poll for the Indy on Sunday and Sunday Mirror is just out and shows very little change on a month ago. The Tories are down two, the LDs and others are up 1 with Labour no change on 39%.

Like all current polling the voting intention question was based on what respondents would do in a hypothetical general election tomorrow.

I’d like pollsters to start putting the May 7 2015 date to see what happens. It would certainly focus respondents and maybe produce a much higher proportion.

Amongst the other questions:-

A Labour government under Ed Miliband would be better at protecting people’s jobs

Agree: 27% (32% April 11) (30% Jan11)

Disagree: 43% (40% April 11) (38% Jan11)

Don’t know: 30% (28% April 11) (32% (Jan11)

It is better to let Government borrowing go on rising than to allow more youth unemployment

Agree: 22%

Disagree: 48%

Don’t know: 29%

The loss of hundreds of thousands of public sector jobs is a price worth paying to reduce the deficit

Agree: 29% (30% Oct10)

Disagree: 51% (47% Oct10)

Don’t know: 20% (23% Oct10)

In most cases I have sympathy for people going on strike against public spending cuts

Agree: 48% (51% July11) (48% May11)

Disagree: 38% (38% July11) (37% May11)

Don’t know: 14% (11% July11) (15% May11)

I trust David Cameron and George Osborne to make the right decisions about the economy

Agree: 30% (31% Aug11)

Disagree: 45% (48% Aug11)

Don’t know: 25% (21% Aug11)

I trust Ed Miliband and Ed Balls to make the right decisions about the economy

Agree: 21% (18% Aug 11)

Disagree: 50% (54% Aug 11)

Don’t know: 28% (28% (Aug 11)

David Cameron is defending Britain’s interests well in the crisis over the euro

Agree: 35%

Disagree: 34%

Don’t know: 30%

The planned high-speed rail link from London to Birmingham and the north would be expensive but worth it

Agree: 32%

Disagree: 40%

Don’t know: 28%

@MikeSmithsonPB




  • Anonymous

    A complete change of topic.

    I’ve just had 2 bottles of the most wonderful white wine, a Malborough called Saint Clair Vicars Choice. I highly recommend it.

    Wrong direction but I’m now moving on to a Cloudy Bay.

  • Anonymous

    I happen to know a lot, professionally, about both airports and high speed rail. We have needed a new airport around London for a couple of decades, but an estuary airport is not the answer. It would probably be another white elephant because most of the demand is to the west of London. The 50% of the income distribution accounts for 95% of flights, and they disproportionately live in West and South-west London.

    It would be far better to back a scheme like London/Oxford or two more runways on Gatwick as the 2019 deadline is about to expire. With Gatwick, the drawback is that you’d have to undertake major earthworks for the second new runway, but that would undoubtedly be a lot less than building a new island in the estuary. You would also have to do something about the appalling road access to Central London – maybe upgrade the A23 to motorway all the way into town.

    Or you could put three more runways on Stansted, though the drawback, as with the estuary airport, is that the current single runway and terminal aren’t full because, again, all the demand in London is in the west and southwest.

    Heathrow expansion is a total non-starter – though the 2003 SERAS study costed a third runway at £3 billion, by the time I looked at it in 2008, £13 billion was far more likely. The capacity increase would be relatively small because the runway wouldn’t be full length, and the political opposition is frightening. A few farmers around Stansted, or even tens of thousands of residents of Crawley, can be brushed aside with little difficulty, but the two million west Londoners under the Heathrow flightpaths are another matter entirely.

    But the other thing we shouldn’t do is dither for another couple of decades.

  • Anonymous

    Incidentally, one other change the government should make is to ditch planning inquiries which take forever and are unpredictable, and authorise a new airport specifically through an Act of Parliament. Quicker, more certain, and actually more democratic than palming off all the decisions on a heavily-influenced minor bureaucrat.

  • Anonymous

    Mail on Sunday recreates car journey Mrs Huhne would have had to have made if she was driving when clocked for speeding.

    It finds it would have been impossible – unless Lewis Hamilton was driving.

    Pretty obvious really – this just looks like a way of keeping the story in the headlines!

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2063734/The-great-Chris-Huhne-road-test-The-Mail-Sunday-sets-solve-energy-secretarys-wife-REALLY-driving.html

  • http://www.biologymad.com HD2

    Not if all benefits for extra children were ended.
    More children = more cost = don’t have them
    More children = more benefits = have them

  • http://www.biologymad.com HD2

    No. Tax breaks for stay-at-home mothers.
    Paying someone else to do your ‘duty’ as a parent is the most bonkers idea ever to come out of Hatemen’s mad excuse for a brain.

    You choose to have them = you accept a decade of caring and staying (largely) at home to do so.

    Much easier if there are two of you – so get married and STAY married.

  • http://www.biologymad.com HD2

    The CPS/Police should have done precisely what the Mail have done 24hrs after they began their investigation and then handed this information to the CPS, since it’s then game, set, and match for a prosecution of Mrs Huhne for perjury.

    I assume the prosecution of Mr Huhne would then follow.

    What’s taken all this time? Only one possible solution – they are seeking to find ANY excuse NOT to prosecute. That’s wrong on several levels, but most of all because it’s a case of ‘one law for those in power, one law for teh rest’.

    I’d hope the CPS employees involved are removed from the public purse – this is clearly and open-and-shut case, since Mrs Huhne cannot have done the journey in the time-frame allowable, so she MUST have lied.

    That also omits any other ccTV evidence of where the car(s) involved was parked – if Mr Huhne’s car was NOT in central London, it must, surely, have been at Stansted, so in a car-park, whilst the car Mrs Huhne was using for her meeting/speech should have been seen on ccTV too.

    Two cars, two drivers. No argument. No excuses. Two (successful) prosecutions (though if Mrs H turns Queen’s evidence, she gets off, I assume)

    No need for months of faffing about

    Like yesterday’s Police stabbing case in North London. Why all the forensics and closing of the area for hours and hours? FOUR Police witnessed the incident, several others too (the butchers, for a start), so what more evidence does anyone want? No common-sense, nothing but box-ticking and ‘procedure’ and costs and inconvenience for the public at every level.

    His only defence must be of mental illness, surely, and then we’re into mitigation pleas and ‘attempted murder v GBH (etc)’ bargaining.

    Pah – lock him up for 15 years (and then deport him, if born overseas) and let’s move on.

    Trial next week, conviction after 1 day in court, minimal costs, maximum punishment.

    This is a case with no ‘I didn’t do it’ (etc) defence, so why do we have to drag things out for months and months and have a trial lasting weeks?

    Oh yes, lawyers and their fees…………..

  • Plato

    chrisbrooke Chris Brooke
    It’s good to read on pp.383-4 of his PhD that Saif Gaddafi is generally enthusiastic about the work of the International Criminal Court.

  • http://www.biologymad.com HD2

    Good morning Ms P.
    Coming to the PB ‘bash’ on 1st Dec?

  • Plato

    Whilst we’re waiting to for our Sunday morning treat – here’s an amusing way to waste 5 minutes

    How should I vote in the Republican Primaries 2012?

    Vote Match helps you decide how to vote in the 2012 Republican primaries by comparing and matching your views with each candidate’s policies.

    It decided I should vote for Herman Cain.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/republicans/8876878/How-should-I-vote-in-the-Republican-Primaries-2012.html

  • Anonymous

    Can we believe the Daily Wail, though?

  • Plato

    I’d love to, but bit beyond my budget right now. Hope there will be lots of pix of PBers in paper hats :^)

    And here’s some geek trivia re roundabouts

    http://www.economist.com/node/21538779?fsrc=scn/tw/te/ar/whatgoesaround

  • http://www.biologymad.com HD2

    You try driving that far, on those roads, in that time, AT those times (preferably, in that type of car)
    If you’re not prepared to do that, don’t sneer and cast nasturtiums.

  • http://www.biologymad.com HD2

    The quicker virtually all traffic lights on roundabouts are removed, the better.
    Those that remain can be ‘peak times only’
    Birmingham is currently replacing large roundabouts with sets of lights. No-one seems to have told the Highways Planners that the purpose of a road is to carry the maximum traffic at the maximum SAFE speed. How you decide on the acceptable accident rate is a matter for debate, but closing a main arterial road for 60-85% of the time (as lights do, allowing for pauses between changes), is utter madness.

  • http://www.biologymad.com HD2

    Romney, Perry, Paul (in that order) with little between any of them (66-59%)

  • Plato

    Hemel Hempstead is rather overly keen on roundabouts myself – their giant one surrounded by orbiting mini ones reduces me to a nervous wreck. http://www.tachoblog.com/wp-content/uploads/090415-magic-roundabout-hh-sign.jpg

    on the Iron Lady film topic – there is an interesting review by India Knight in the STimes. She’s a pretty lefty lady and hates Mrs T. Here’s a snippet of her review:

    “And here we come to the crux of the matter. If I were a 20-year-old woman, born after the end of Thatcher’s tenure in No 10, and found myself watching The Iron Lady at the cinema of a Saturday night, I would be bowled over.

    I would think: “Here are Boadicea and Elizabeth I rolled into one: here is my new heroine. Why did nobody tell me this self-made, self-propelled, take-no-prisoners feminist superstar was so wonderful? Okay, so the politics are a bit dubious, but wow.”

    I asked Morgan, who wrote the script, how she would feel when women’s magazines such as Grazia started running features on how to get the Thatcher look — picture spreads on the best blouses with bows, on the best Maggie-style handbags, on how to get your hair authentically helmet-like. She stared at me aghast and said she would be horrified. I have no doubt whatsoever that she needs to brace herself for being very horrified indeed come January. ”

    *stunned at the prospect*

    :^)

  • Nick Palmer

    Latest YG here http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/3r78qrqfex/Sunday%20Times%20Results%20111118%20VI%20and%20Trackers%20TC.pdf -

    - Labour lead 4, but a markedly better set of secondaries for the Government compared to the previous ones, to the point that caution is advisable unless there’s a reason why people will suddenly have cheered up compared with the day before. Lots of Thatcher nostalgia!

  • Anonymous

    I think there are two similar roundabouts elsewhere in the country. Or to be more accurate, were. The one on the A13 is being turned into a complex flyover/underpass/conventional roundabout system, allegedly at least in part to cater for traffic to the Olympic Mountain Biking site just outside Southend.

  • firstlight40

    Living halfway between Gatwick and Heathrow and able (on a good day) to be at either airport in 20 minutes I’m one of those lucky people in SW london surburbs who benefits from being able to fly pretty much anywhere in the world with direct non-stop flights to many places.

    But heathrow and gatwick are terribly crowded – compared say to Dallas-FT Worth and an estuary airport with 4 main runways would be better. It’d take me an hour to get there but then my flight time would be shorter, I would not be sitting on a the runway for an hour waiting to take off, and I would not have to leave as early given the likelihood of traffic jams. There could be much better rail-links using a link to HS1/HS2 to get to Birmingham and beyond.

    Every morning I can see the stacks of aircraft waiting to land held up by runway capacity – the new airport would be able to have 24 hour a day operation and would also relocate aircraft stacking into the channel. Heathrow and Gatwick would be able to deal with local flights (Europe) and charter flights and could be a lot smaller and less frantic as a result.

    Yes it would cost, but as jsp123 says we need to get cracking now. What the airport planners forget is that demand can move and saying it’s all in SW London is only correct because the facilities are already there!

  • Anonymous

    New thread
    Miliband drops to his lowest point in the YouGov leader ratings http://bit.ly/tm7ziw

  • moses

    Nyyroooommm splutter cough cough.

    Bernie Eck might be in a spot of bother to the tune of 27 million… a 27 million pound bung FFS.

    Mind you his daughter splashed 2 million on her wedding I seem to recollect.

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2063209/Bernie-Ecclestone-faces-Serious-Fraud-Office-inquiry-paid-Gerhard-Gribkowsky-27m.html

  • http://www.biologymad.com HD2

    There’s another of those ‘orbital multi-bouts’ near Romney in Hampshire (IIRC) and it scared the heck out of me the first time I came to it (around 20 years ago).

    I’ve been there only once or twice since, and I was better prepared for it!

    The lights at the Guildford Cathedral rbt are a particular nonsense, since their justification was always dubious, and then the access slip-road from the A3 was extended and improved, so there was no point any more (and they spoil the view of the Cathedral, too.

    Needed (if ever) for 15-30 mins a day, Mon-Fri, term-times only, they operate 24/7 for no useful purpose whatever.

    I complained about it (to Hampshire Highways, who, oddly, are responsible for a roundabout NOT on a main road in the centre of Surrey’s County town and HQ) about 8 years ago. It took weeks to get a reply, and I was told it would be raised at the next relevant meeting, some months(!) hence.

    Nothing has changed. Highways people, it seems, never make mistakes, and LOVE controlling people, traffic, things.

    Muppets, the lot of them. Bristol switched off EVERY traffic-light in the entire city in about 1984. Chaos was predicted, but traffic flowed better and people were more polite, letting side-traffic in. Then the switched back ON those where it was felt they were essential.

    A bit more of that is needed – particularly on the motorway access roundabout ones, which exist simply to allow the M-way to be closed when VIPs travel along them and/or the M-way is shut after an ‘incident’ as accidents are called today!
    I can see that has a useful purpose, but the cost is not justified – a policeman and/or some cones could do the exceptional jobs just as well.

    They should be switched of at all other times – but the cameras there (and the light’s phasing) is deliberately designed to stop you and allow your number-plate to be recorded.

    Sad, really, deeply, deeply sad and an OTT response to 9/11 and 7/7, I assume.

  • http://www.biologymad.com HD2

    Olympics, World Cups, F1 (and, I suspect most other international ‘mega-events’, other than those in Britain involving the Royal Family) have one thing in common, then.

    ‘Unfit for purpose’ and proof positive that ‘absolute power corrupts absolutely’.

    Seems Bliar was cheap, then, at £3 million from Bernie.