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Miliband now slips BELOW Clegg in ICM’s leader ratings

September 24th, 2011

Can Ed turn thing round at his conference?

As well as the voting intention figures in the latest ICM for the Guardian there are the firm’s leadership ratings which ask the question of whether the PM/leaders/etc are doing a good or bad job. Cameron sees a substantial boost but the biggest winner in terms of change is Nick Clegg.

As we saw in the previous thread the voting intention figures had the Lib Dems down three points which must have been a real disappointment given that the survey coincided with the party’s annual conference when they were getting a lot of media coverage.

But the position in the leader ratings, however, is totally different with Clegg seeing a substantial improvement – a net 13% – on last July and, on every figure, now doing better than Ed Miliband.

Clegg has higher positives and smaller negatives than Ed which is even the more remarkable given Labour’s return to a lead on voting intention from the pollster.

Other findings are not good for Miliband. Only 28% of of those sampled agreed thought that he had the right qualities to become PM. Amongst Labour’s own supporters only 51% agreed. To another question on whether Miliband was the right leader for the Labour party just 30% agreed. Amongst Labour voters the proportion was only 49%.

The only consolation in the ICM numbers for Miliband is that he’s doing better than shadow chancellor Ed Balls – who has not previously been included in the survey. Just 27% say he is doing a good job and 45% bad.

This is not good for the Labour leader on the first anniversary of his election and the start of his party conference.

My main caveat, as I repeat every year at this time. is that polling in late September and early October can get distorted by the party conferences.

@MikeSmithsonPB




  • malcolmG

    But it is still much better than Labour’s strategy so given that and Ed is a useless geek who will never understand or appeal to the masses , Labour are well stuffed.

  • malcolmG

    Exactly and people have to learn that there is no government money , it belongs to the people who work and they need to keep more of their income not less. Benefits gravy train cannot continue and the public sector needs cutting back to what can be afforded.

  • The Screaming Eagles

    Careful Malcolm, more talk like that and you’ll be accused of being a member of the herd.

  • malcolmG

    Or they get beat by a better team, they are no world beaters.

  • Anonymous

    In what is an awful tragedy a mother and 5 children have died in a house fire in London.
    I doubt that SKY will spend 72 hours agonising over it (or other news organisations – Putin running for president again is more important to the BBC). Not its just: 5 dead next item please.

  • Anonymous

    I am a supporter of ‘selection’, in a more modern form. The fact of the matter is that those that were good at academia were prepared for that route and those that were better at more practical matters were prepared for that route as well. Every child is different and this would help solve the skills shortage in our country where too many are now pushed towards the one-size-fits-all straitjacket of a university education.

    Sure, some slipped through the net, and that is the big danger. I don’t know at what age this selection should take place, but I believe there should be a form of assessment of a child’s ability on a lot of subjects – not just academic but also practical. Having developed that round picture of a child you can then sort them into different schools/’streams’. Unlike the 11+, I would allow borderline kids the choice of which path to take.

    This is probably a completely unrealistic objective, but I think that rather than forcing kids into a one-size-fits-all system where their talents are not able to be firmly explored, it would give the education system more freedom to make children the very best at what they have a talent for – be that going to university or into skilled work.

    I say again: every child is different. And some at the moment are being left behind for the relentless educational mantra of “everyone needs a degree now.”

  • http://twitter.com/jayuux jason green

    Cameron struggled to get positive satisfaction ratings against Brown right up to the last months of Brown’s premiership.

  • Anonymous

    To be honest none of the leaders seem to represent their parties anymore*. Neither party support nor leadership ratings will be the indicators they once were by the next GE.

    *which to some degree explains the ‘best of a bad bunch option’ mood of the electorate.

  • Anonymous

    Both clocks are ‘moving’ relative to each other so how does one tick slower than the other?

  • Icarus

    Walking down the street met local Labour Party chap , Mike W. – harangues me about why the Labour Party should come out in favour of recognising Palestine. Before I can comment says that “Obama, he is a cowardly nigger ” he says that he can say that. Mike is a black chap in his 60s.

  • Seth O. Logue

    The appointment of Olly Grender should help you on the PR front.

    But Olly Grender is too loveable and cuddly to be taken seriously. Even Paxo goes weak at the knees when interviewing her.

    The Lib Dems need a spokesperson trained in the martial arts.

  • Anonymous

    No joke to go from Burma to Normandy…

    There is no doubt that junior officers suffered heavy casualties, because their job was dangerous and men took their inspiration form them.

    Its curious to note that numerous men from the ranks were promoted to be junior officers (indeed Field Marshal Robinson – the CIGS originally started his life in the army in the ranks) – but the men themselves preferred to be commanded by ‘proper officers’.
    Its a strange reflection of the attitudes at the time that the men preferred to be commanded by ‘public school’ type officers. Far from shooting their officers you would find that the men would perform miracles if led by a ‘proper officer’, but be reluctant to be led by men from the ranks.

  • Plato


    The Lib Dems need a spokesperson trained in the martial arts”

    They need William Hague?

  • ExeuntOmnes

    Is the battery running down in one of them?

  • Seth O. Logue

    Far from shooting their officers you would find that the men would perform miracles if led by a ‘proper officer’, but be reluctant to be led by men from the ranks.

    This is a fact that tim has never understood. Poor boy.

  • http://thaddeusthesixth.blogspot.com/ Morris Dancer

    F1: on the softs, Alonso right now very close to Vettel’s time. Slightly surprising.

    Schumacher out on the supersofts.

  • Anonymous

    Balls ‘sexed up Treasury forecasts to inflate public spending beyond sensible levels,’ say ex-colleagues

    Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2041216/Ed-Balls-sexed-Treasury-forecasts-inflate-public-spending-sensible-levels.html#ixzz1Yrwo0mmM

  • Anonymous

    Which leaves us between a rock and a hard place. the US and Eurozone crisis does not help general sentiment or the prospects for world growth and despite what people speculate the current low growth is not down to lack of spending – the cuts have not come in yet.

    A cloud of debt hangs over the world and all that previous borrowing has not created a wonderful world of high growth and excellent services – quite the opposite.
    Yet the people who dropped us into this mess want more of the same.

  • Anonymous

    I see Putin looks likely to return to power (well, I guess he never left really).

    That man will be pulling the levers in Russia until his death. He is a new breed of Gen Sec/Tsar.

  • Anonymous

    Not until he wins a World Cup, he isn’t. Not even reached a final yet.

  • Seth O. Logue

    They need William Hague?

    I was thinking more John Prescott. One who doesn’t play by Queensberry Rules.

  • Plato

    I think Labour policy should always be devised by Guardian readers. I wonder which one will get the most support?

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/sep/24/labour-conference-suggestions-your-verdict

    With party conference season upon us, Michael White recently asked for your policy suggestions to put to MPs in our annual debates, this year on the theme of what the parties’ midterm manifestos should be.

    The edited comments below were the ones chosen for the Labour conference. The reader whose idea receives the most interest during the conference debate will be invited to write an article for Comment is free, explaining it in more depth.

    - UK media should be owned by UK citizens, who live in the UK and pay full UK tax. No more than 15% of the UK media should be owned by a single person, group or company.

    - Ending the right to buy and promising to build far more social housing.

    - I’d like to see [Labour] commit to an “inequality target”. I’ve had enough of listening to politicians bull**** about fairer society only to increase levels of inequality when they get into power. If they are going into power to make a more (or less) unequal society, they should say so up front so people know what they are voting for. If they say they are going to reduce inequality and they fail, they can be held to account for that failure. In practical terms, something as simple as a declared aim of increasing or lowering the Gini coefficient would do me.

    - The end of the pro-privatisation dogma. A national bank? A national railways? State run elderly care? They would be better than the status quo, which is massive taxpayer subsidy of private companies to ensure the multi-million profits keep flowing regardless of performance. Maybe a Labour politician can have the guts to suggest this.

    - Increase Inheritance Tax. Introduce Wealth Tax like 1% annual tax on estates above £1m in property, cash, etc that is not invested in British companies. This would raise revenue and also act as a stimulus to encourage investment

  • Anonymous

    “UK media should be owned by UK citizens, who live in the UK and pay full UK tax.”

    British Jobs for British Workers!!!

  • Anonymous

    Most of that stuff doesn’t sound a million miles away from the sort of stuff the BNP claim are their policies. Has Nick Griffin been astro-turfing the Guardian website :-)

  • http://liberaltaxi.blogspot.com/ corporeal

    Teams win world cups. Wilkinson was a very good player, but the WC was won up front in the pack.

    Carter is just better than him as a player. And frankly anyone who watches any amount of rugby and any amount of both of them playing shouldn’t be in any doubt about that.

    Carter’s a class above anyone else, including Wilkinson.

  • Anonymous

    223-Would the Leader of the Labour party be exempt from paying IHT?

    Or would IHT be only for the plebs?

  • Anonymous

    Also known as “Doing a Darling”.

  • Anonymous

    226 – Wilkinson in 2002/2003 was a huge part of the gameplan that got England to be the best team in the world. England dominated the front five and played to win penalties for Wilkinson to kick from all over the field. Carter has been an integral part of a team that regularly wins all the matches that don’t count. He’s a more skilful player, granted, but unless New Zealand win a World Cup, Wilkinson’s two finals and one win are worth more than any number of weeks as World No1.

  • Scott P

    It depends which one is moving faster relative to the observer.

    That’s why it’s called relativity; everything is relative to the frame of reference.

  • Anonymous

    Precisely. Any cuts are those that were budgeted for, for some time. Some areas of expenditure have seen reductions, but they are dwarfed by the rest who have seen nothing more than decreases in absurd increases.

    The figures are quite clear, 6% and then 3.8% increases in expenditure through to the next parliament. These maintain public spending at the record high levels they were pushed up to by Brown.

    I can understand the machismo positioning the Coalition wanted to project, but the reality is very different.

    (of course, the six hundred pound gorilla in the living room, is that the debt racked up from deficit spending from 2002 to 2015, has to be serviced. Servicing costs of debt are estimated to be about £80 billion pa in 2015, which is about double that of 2009, money is been diverted from delivering services to servicing debt)

  • tim

    I agree with you on leader ratings, but not on ICMs version, they bounce around all over the place – You are aware that Miliband was also doing worse than Clegg in June with ICM.

    No other pollsters show the same – ICM are the gold standard for VI, but MORI are the gold standard for leader ratings.

  • Anonymous

    The irony is of course, is that poster would probably consider someone saying that benefits should be refused to foreigners who live here to be racist.

  • tim

    Miliband now slips BELOW Clegg in ICM’s leader ratings

    He was in June as well.

  • Scott P

    @JohnRentoul: Seldon & Lodge: “In our view, Gordon Brown is the most damaged personality to have become Chancellor or PM since WW2″ http://t.co/2MaZiS9A

  • tim

    Miliband now slips BELOW Clegg in ICM’s leader ratings

    now?

    He did in June as well
    ICMs leader ratings are all over the place, always have been.

    http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2011/jun/20/david-cameron-liberal-democrat-poll

  • Anonymous

    “So, instead, he sought solace by talking to Charlie Whelan, one of his former attack dogs who’d once specialised in poisonous briefings against government ministers.

    And soon, to the horror of his staff, Whelan was once again employing his dark arts and bullishly defending his former master’s record to chosen journalists.”

    Lovely.

    “On all other decisions during his premiership, Brown believes he was in the right: if errors were made, they were the fault of others. And so he simmers on, feeling betrayed and badly treated. In his worst moments, he suffers from paranoia, feeling that the Parliamentary Labour Party, the Cabinet, the service chiefs, the media and the Civil Service all conspired to thwart his ambitions to build a better Britain and a better world.”

    Absolutely Bonkers. Imagine if he was still in charge now.

  • Nick Palmer

    95/101 Agree with fr that the boos were sparse but also with David L that the failure of the candidates to stand up to the booers was a major missed opportunity. After McCain defended Obama againast an accusation by a supporter (who had claimed Obama was unpatriotic), my respect for him soared – he’d proved an important characteristic in any leader, basic upright decency.

  • http://thaddeusthesixth.blogspot.com/ Morris Dancer

    F1: Decided against tipping for qualifying, I’m afraid.

    Vettel’s rightly favourite, but 1.45 is ridiculously short. Webber or (less likely) Button could pose a threat, and Hamilton was weirdly off the pace. There was a small amount at 3.4 for Button to be top 3, but that’s gone.

    It may look tempting to go for Webber, as Vettel was 0.2s behind him in P3, but he lost 0.8s in one sector alone, due to either traffic or a mistake, and had almost all his other laps wrecked by traffic as well.

  • http://twitter.com/TheTapBlog Tapestry

    HAARP map of the world.

    What’s Nick Clegg got to say about that?

  • Moniker of Monza

    I think the McCain supporter claimed that Obama was a Muslim and McCain replied that Obama wasn’t a Muslim and was in fact a good man. I was appalled.

  • Scott P

    @ladpolitics: Ladbokes: Romney back as favourite to win GOP nomination after Perry flops in latest debate http://t.co/X47Y3HGX

  • Anonymous

    I agree with Nick (!). I thought it was downright disturbing. that no-one condemned that. If the GOP is not careful, it is going to fall into the inescapable hole of being the party that cares more about what someone does in the bedroom than respect for the military.

  • Scott P

    *** BETTING POST ***

    Sky are paying 6 places in the Cambridgeshire

    small each way on Constant Contact at 50-1

  • Jack W

    “Nick Palmer’s analysis is correct.”

    Endorsed by “Ash” above was there ever any other five words that crushed a PBers post so completely !!

  • http://liberaltaxi.blogspot.com/ corporeal

    Again, Wilkinson’s a very good kicker, but he’s wasn’t transcendentally better at kicking penalties than anyone else around. That England team played to grind out territory force errors and often penalties. It wasn’t like Wilkinson was knocking over penalties from positions no-one else could do. If Carter was on that team he could have done all that Wilkinson did and more.

    You’re also unfairly focusing on the front five when England’s back row were absolutely key to their success.

    Rugby’s a team game, more than many other sports. WC wins or failures are team things. Falling back on that is just a sign of weak argument. In what area is Wilkinson better than Carter? What skill, what athletic attribute does Wilkinson perform better than Carter?

    Carter is every bit the kicker that Wilkinson is, and far better with the ball in hand, both at running and creatively. Watch the two of them play and it’s not a contest as to who the better player is.

  • Anonymous

    With the extreme unhappiness of the right as regards their candidates after the latest Republican debate, a certain person, must surely enter stage right, wearing stockings and high heels to declare their intention to seek the Presidency of the United States…

    On the other hand, Chris Christie’s change of heart might change every calculation. Not so much running as walking as quickly as his asthma will allow, he’s a heavyweight in every sense. He could channel the anger that many Reps have towards Washington and brings a key state into play. I just can’t see him getting it though, it’s still Romney’s to lose. I just wonder if any of his opponents will ever get round to criticising his healthcare plan, maybe it wasn’t so bad after all?

  • Anonymous

    Afternoon all,

    Interesting so it’s all about

    1) Imposing (further) political control over the media

    2) Restricting the right to own one’s own property

    3) Imposing (further) Political interference in the fabric of society

    4) Nationalise everything

    5) Tax them till their pips squeak

    How very 1984 both from a literary and from a timing perspective. Thats Labour all over.

  • Anonymous

    “I think the McCain supporter claimed that Obama was a Muslim and McCain replied that Obama wasn’t a Muslim and was in fact a good man. I was appalled.

    That was a brilliant moment in the 2008 election – McCain said it because he meant it.

    What little people are running currently. Pathetic.

  • Plato

    Golly me – just seen this quote from the Indy from 1992 re the Euro

    Here, for example, is an Independent editorial from 1992 – when Andrew Marr was editing the paper.

    The spectacle is both nauseating and pathetic: nauseating because this heterogeneous rump of Thatcherites, little Englanders, xenophobes and eccentric constitutionalists appears to have no concept of loyalty; pathetic because they have no alternative agenda.

    In their conceit they are convinced they know better than the Government (and the Opposition) where this country’s true interests lie. But what vision do they substitute? Not, to be sure, of a perfidious Albion notorious for going back on treaties that it has signed; nor of a country whose outdated notions of sovereignty led either to Britain being marginalised in Europe, or to a historic undermining of the EC’s role as a bulwark against resurgent nationalism. Yet those are both likely outcomes. The Europhobes’ idea of the EC reverting to a mere Common Market is a naive anachronism.

    Note that this is an editorial – not a signed Op Ed written by some rabid integrationist, but one of those unsigned leading articles in which, by tradition at least, a newspaper strives to set out its stall as a thoughtful, balanced authority on matters of great import. http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jamesdelingpole/100106974/global-warming-the-guilty-men/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

  • Anonymous

    My guess would be that that Clegg would say it’s a conspiracy.

  • Moniker of Monza

    Why doesn’t Jeb Bush run ? He’d certainly win the Republican nomination and probably beat Obama.

  • Seth O. Logue

    The public’s complete rejection of the failing Tory economic strategy is far more significant than Miliband’s personal ratings.

    The flaw in Nick’s analysis is that policies can be changed and policy outcomes can vary or even reverse. It is much more difficult to change personal character and ability.

    It is relatively easy for Boy George to change his spending plans and deficit reduction targets but Labour are plum stuck with Ed’s weirdness.

    It’s unfair, but the Gods are often cruel.

  • paul barker

    One way to look at The “Leaders doing well” figures is to see them as a measure of how easy each Party will find it to expand their vote in 2015. Against what everyone “knows” The Libdems come out ahead with Tories a close second & Labour a poor third.
    To see it in figures subtract the 2010 Vote share from The Leaders “good job” numbers.
    Libdem get 15% & Labour 4%, giving Cleggs Party much greater potential to increase their vote share next time.

    If I was to make a prediction for 2015, which would be crazy this early; I would expect the Libdems to gain 2 or 3% & Labour to lose 3 or 4.

  • http://edmundintokyo.wordpress.com Edmund in Tokyo

    I reckon Palin and Christie are both just taking the opportunity to raise some money, but in the event that Palin did run, it might not hurt her to have Christie in there too, taking some votes away from Perry and Romney.

  • http://twitter.com/TheTapBlog Tapestry

    How can a map be a conspiracy, OGH? (w.a.d.r.)

  • Anonymous

    He needs to row back on that policy. When times are hard, people look at the price of essentials. I notice that the Mail has gone silent on doing away with free plastic bags in supermarkets as well.

  • Anonymous

    I don’t know he’d certainly win, the Bush name is certainly a handicap, conservatives are running from the Bush domestic record on spending. He is perhaps, the David Miliband of the Republican Party, only popular.

  • Anonymous

    If Palin doesn’t run now, when her country is in the depths of a crisis of leadership, when there is no obvious leader of her own party and when faced with a President of whom only 40% of the population approve, then when will she run?

    If the answer is never, then surely her star will wane in any event & the lucrative fox/book deals will dry up.

  • Anonymous

    I am not surprised your man Mike W. use the term. In my experience the “N” word is commonly used as a term of abuse by people of Afro-Caribbean ethnicity, particularly when talking about people of the same ethnic background who behave badly.

  • Anonymous

    On topic

    It’s interesting that the Libdem figures are falling and Clegg’s are rising. Thinking beyond the previously recognised synergy between Labour and Libdem vote share figures, is it possible parts of the electorate like Nick Clegg much more than they like the Libdems as a whole? Are we now seeing a split in the voting public’s view of the Libdems in that given the circumstances they back Clegg’s relative loyalty to the Government but oppose the rhetoric of Cable, Farron, Huhne and the rest of the Yellow Bastards.

    Are we seeing the creation of an extreme Libdem faction (those Yellow Bastards) in the eyes of the political mainstream equivalent to a version of the ‘swivel-eyed nutters’?

  • Anonymous

    How can anyone not like the man who christened Nick ‘calamity’ Clegg? Tim Farron seems to be a dumbed down version, content to play silly games, oblivious to the trouble he causes the leader. If Huhne or Farron is the future of the libdems, then God help them.

  • Anonymous

    You may well be right, JSFL. I note that a big chunk of the field work for the poll was conducted during the Liberal Party Conference and before Clegg’s speech. I wonder, therefore, if the drop in support as far as voting intention is concerned is because of the performance of Farron, Huhne and others whilst Clegg got a lift as the acceptable face of Lib Demery.

    I haven’t watched television for years so I don’t know what sort of coverage Farron et al actually got in the most influential of media outlets.

  • Jack W

    I think it’s worthy of note to contrast how Labour and Conservatives deal with leaders widely and normally accurately perceived to be past their best before date.

    Conservatives tend to the ruthless even if they be Prime Minister’s or very recent PM’s – Eden, Heath, Thatcher and IDS.

    In contrast Labour stood valiantly and foolishly by Foot …. and now Ed !!

    Indeed Labour tend to want to punish successful leaders – Attlee by Laski in 1945, Wilson by George Brown and Blair by Gordon Brown endlessly.

  • Anonymous

    “He needs to row back on that policy [adding to the cost of energy in the name of being 'Green'].”

    It certainly wouldn’t hurt him to have something sensible to say on energy policy. It would mean admitting the administration of which he was a part got it totally wrong, but that would be a minor handicap. Of course, even if he did offer something sensible, he couldn’t hope to implement it before the damage was done.

    For the good of the nation, the person who really needs to think about energy now is Cameron. I doubt he will though because a) I think he believes in the current policy (no matter how much growth and how many jobs it destroys) and b) to change direction would mean sacking Huhne and he doesn’t have the political power (or the courage) to do that.

  • http://twitter.com/DanielFurrUK Daniel Furr

    Farron and others from the social democratic wing of the party are equally despised by the leadership. The Social Liberal Forum is referred to as ‘militant tendency’ by senior figures within the Liberal Democrats.

    Huhne is effectively a dead man walking within the party and Tim’s conference speech has made him highly unpopular within the parliamentary party -who already oppose his posturing.

    The ‘swivel-eyed nutters’ (as you call them) are a dying breed, majority of the grassroot and younger members are most certainly economic liberals.

  • http://liberaltaxi.blogspot.com/ corporeal

    I think we have to consider the “drop” in light of the previous result being a high one compared to other recent polling by both ICM and other companies. At least some of it is likely to be a correction from that point.

  • Anonymous

    Indeed how can someone not have a soft spot for the Cacti arsonist? Its the sort of stunt that you can imagine as a sketch on ‘Some Mother’s Do Ave ‘Em’ or a St Trinians Film.

    Having seen Farron get Brillo’d, I take him to be the Libdem equivalent of John Prescott with Huhne as the Libdems Gordon Brown and Cable, the equivalent of Ed Balls. So if they do defenestrate Clegg god help the Libdems. Who else is there that might lead them – ‘Bambi’ Featherstone or ‘Thumpa’ Teather perhaps?

  • http://liberaltaxi.blogspot.com/ corporeal

    You seem remarkably well informed.

    I think you’re overstating the swing within the party tbh (and the certainty with which you can comment on the majority of activists’ and younger members’ views unless you’ve seen some very interesting polling).

  • jascow

    You have the idea but the point about relativity is that as you approach the speed of light it becomes harder to go any faster – eventually it becomes infinitely difficult to increase your speed. This part is irrelevant of the frame of reference, so whether you are measuring the neutrino speed at rest relative to the detector at the end of the tunnel, or at rest relative to the neutrino (so you’re measuring the speed at which you’re approaching the detector) you are not allowed to obtain a velocity greater than c.

    “Easy” way to think about the effect of special relativity:

    Newtonian mechanics:
    Spaceship moving at 0.5c fires a laser from its front. Anyone measuring the speed of light coming from the spaceship should get 1.5c

    Special relativity:
    This is complete nonsense – you get 1c whether the spaceship is moving or not.

  • Anonymous

    Interesting observations. We shall just have to see how that turns out?

    I do note that you do not mention the ‘Blessed Vince’. Is he part of the Libdem Militant Faction? His (political) background and his favoured policies would seemingly lend themselves to such a categorisation?

  • Anonymous

    I doubt he will though

    Indeed and that could cost the Conservatives dear in 2015.

  • Anonymous

    Returning to my earlier thoughts, it should be stated in Ed Miliband’s defence that he currently embodies his party’s thinking and is delivering on his mandate. It is very doubtful whether the Labour party is in a mood to be led to acknowledge fundamental problems with the last Government. It specifically rejected the candidate for the leadership who was proposing to do this.

    Self-criticism is always difficult and it’s particularly difficult when a superficial excuse (the personality of Gordon Brown) can be blamed instead. Labour may yet need to test that idea out before concluding that deeper problems need to be addressed.

  • Plato

    For those who enjoy an excellently penned cartoon – here’s one of my favourites about Ed Wallace and his greenery

    http://fenbeagleblog.files.wordpress.com/2011/03/there-was-a-bold-lady-who-swallowed-a-lie-rev.jpg?w=640&h=4733

    There are loads of superb ones on this blog – funny and superb execution [provided you aren't keen on AGW theories]

  • jascow

    He won’t. The problem is that Cameron truly believes in the green lunacy as much as Miliband, Clegg, Huhne, even Caroline Lucas. He’s deluded himself into thinking that these policies will attract rich metropolitan lefties.

    Lots of people (including myself) think recycling/conservation is a good idea, but the eco-fascism of destroying our economy to make ourselves feel good while developing countries ramp up their CO2 output doesn’t have much support out there.

  • Anonymous

    “As an ordinary MP, he [Gordon Brown] didn’t feel comfortable going to the House of Commons, where he feared he might be humiliated. Nor was he keen to present himself to the Tories as a potential target.

    Much of those first few weeks were spent on the telephone, talking to friends across the world — including Bob Geldof — about possible future roles.”

    Bob Geldolf ? – Now that is scary, not sure about ‘friends across the world, – different planet more like…!

  • Anonymous

    Labour in 2009

    “Forget about this Government, global events are causing the economy to crash.”

    Labour in 2011

    “Forget about global events, this Government is causing the economy to crash.”

  • Max

    My guess is that Clegg would ignore it completely for fear of acknowledging such a crackpot theory and giving it legs.

  • Jack W

    News reaches me that the Labour party are again looking to Russia for political ideas !!

    Wait for it …. coming through now ….

    Ed is now only going to serve one term as leader and then hand back to his predecessor !!

    No !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • Anonymous

    Indeed I agree. The general idea of conservation and renewable energy is fine and doesn’t need the ridiculous and irrelevent climate change debate distraction to promote it. Potentially, if developed properly it could provide relatively free energy. Think of what political opportunities that could provide?

    However, as you say Cameron is as deluded as the rest turning it into a stealth tax and vested interest issue. This is the problem. There is this bizarre deluded groupthink that has infected the political classes (a contagion from Brussels perhaps?) that ensures that the people do not have any real representation from the establishment parties anymore. Instead the establishment parties are just puppets for various vested interests and their policies reflect their need to pander to these interests. In this case it’s the ‘big six’ energy cartel and their supplier partners who are the beneficiaries.

  • Anonymous

    Jack W

    What do you mean – No. It would be the best thing Labour could ever hope for. Just think about it? Endless decades of lectures from Chairman Brown on the ‘Post Neo-classical Endogenous Growth Theory’ and about how he was right all along and everyone else was wrong. Bound to be a vote winner!

  • Scott P

    It’s an interesting question; would Gordo poll higher than Edweird?

    One of the commentators wrote earlier in the week that Gordo did bring World leaders together in the teeth of the crisis (they were coming anyway) and it abated.

    Ed has called for it, but it isn’t happening.

    Is this a moment where Gordo’s “Big Beast” status would help?

  • Anonymous

    As we wait for the Indian summer, it’s time to get Drought Watch up and running again. Here in Warwickshire water levels are lower than I have ever seen them at this time of year. If we do not get substantial rainfall this autumn/winter the situaiton is going to get very serious. I think things are pretty similar to the east of here. It’s looking bad.

  • Anonymous

    The ICM poll is a pretty neat reflection of where Labour stands. A lot of people are fairly well disposed to Labour, but currently would not let them near power. Sadly, that is just about my position too. This government needs a better opposition to critique some of the very grave errors it has made. And trhe country needs a credible alternatve government. We have neither at the moment.

  • Socrates

    255. Palin asked this week for donations to her PAC to “help her decide” whether she would run. She’s surely already decided if she’s running or not, so if its the latter, she’s horribly taking advantage of the poor rural whites that tend to support her.

    I still don’t think Christie will run. This really should be Perry’s for the taking, and I suspect he’ll still get it, but he’s making a horrible hash of it.

  • Scott P

    @GdnPolitics: David Blunkett warns Ed Miliband: Labour won’t win an election like this http://t.co/jaZAkCCG

  • The Screaming Eagles

    Your honesty does you great credit, you sound like how I felt in circa 2001/2002/2003 when we had IDS as leader.

  • Anonymous

    I can’t believe Palin will run considering how late she’s left it, and with that book now out and the marital rumours running wild, I’m not sure she could conceivably go for it.

    That said, it was always my impression Palin would endorse Perry, but considering what a hash he’s making of it, maybe she would jump in. I just can’t see it now myself, though.

  • Charles

    Rural poverty is a huge issue in many parts of the country. Sure it is going to be different problems, but the principle of an MP intervening on behalf of their constituents remains the same.

    Similarly, in those urban areas that Tories represent there are areas of significant poverty – if you think about parts of the Two Cities (north of westminster) or North Kensington there are real issues that have to be address.

  • Anonymous

    Sadly, it is just screamingly obvious. Labour do not look or sound like a credible alternative right now. I would love them to be, but they’re not. And I imagine there are a lot like me – indeed, the ICM poll seems to indicate that.

    Ed Miliband is comfortable in North London and South Yorkshire, and nowhere else. Some of Balls’s critique of the government is spot on, but his solutions will not work now. Working in the private sector, being a parent and watching the world go mad I just do not see where Labour can help at the moment (which is not to say that I think the government has called things correctly either – I don’t).

  • Anonymous

    So you agree with my characterisation of the Tories’ position?

    If so what does this tell you?

    Probably that both the Tories and Labour are over-simplifying the situation and shifting blame.

    Criticising the Tories doesn’t mean I endorse Labour, after all, but heck, what difference does it make what Labour believe right now?

  • Socrates

    I now think it’s about 60-40 she won’t jump in. But she’s almost definitely left it too late at this point. I think she could have had a decent shot even up to about a week ago, but she’s just been dragging her feet too much.

  • The Screaming Eagles

    We’re not that far changed from the National Equivalent Vote calculated by Professors Rallings and Thrasher for the May locals.

    http://www7.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2011/05/08/the-rallings-thrasher-national-equivalent-vote-shares/

    I think the whole country is waiting to see if the coalition’s economic policies truly work/make us better prepared than our competitors.

    For as Labour and Ed Balls especially are tainted for causing the mess we’re in, I can see Labour still struggling.

    The only thing that can help Labour is if a major of voters start believing the coalition has made the problem worse.

  • Anonymous

    SO talking a lot of sense from the red team perspective!

    What’s he playing at… bring back Ash and Ben M so we can pigeon hole the reds as still thinking like them!

  • Anonymous

    I’m not sure what her motivation for the delay is (unless it’s simply to minimise the damage caused if she declares she’s not running, as by that point she’d hope everyone was bored by her anyway. But her courting of the media seems to run contrary to this).

    I have always maintained, and still do, that Palin could have been a credible candidate in 2012. Sure, her 2008 Veep candidacy was riddled with gaffes and cringeworthy moments, but she had political star dust in droves. And that, sometimes, is just as crucial to being a successful politician as a sound policy knowledge grounding. Especially in the US.

    I was bemused by her actions following 2008, as I thought she’d take a couple of steps back, get some savvy advisors on board and then make a comeback as ‘the campaign-hardened, wiser Palin.’ Instead she decided to resign the governorship and take on the role of celebrity, brazenly carrying on in attitude as she did in the 2008 campaign. It’s been an interesting tactic (and gives her that insurgent, outsider role that has been enthralling to monitor) but as a base to launch a successful bid for the highest office in the land? Not sure about that.

    Whatever she decides on 2012, she has hogged the limelight and made a pretty penny out of all this, so one can’t say she hasn’t been incredibly successful in one way.

  • Anonymous

    F1: Session wasn’t as entertaining as it should be, with Force India’s and Hamilton not going for a final run.

    Vettel supreme as ever I put some small amount of money on him for poll, but as MD said, the odds weren’t huge. Still, a wins a win.

  • Plato

    Sky reporting that Greek expected to default and discussing how to manage the fall-out – up to 50% write-down of debts – reports coming from IMF meetings held today.

    EDIT all efforts by G20 now going into bank recapitalisation/preparing economies > plan to bailout Greece during Oct and until after G20 Cannes meeting in Nov.

  • Adrian Bailey
  • DavidL

    This is where my higher physics fails me.

    If 2 space ships are moving at 0.75c in opposite directions they would surely be moving at 1.5c relative to each other. The consequence would be that they could not see each other because c is the event horizon in terms of observation. Since the reflection (for want of a better word) of each ship could only travel at c the ships would be invisible to each other.

    Neither ship would be moving in excess of c in absolute terms and both could therefore be observed by a stationary observer but they are surely moving apart at 1.5c?

    I have read that objects accelerated towards c appear to gain mass as a way of absorbing the energy that cannot be converted into additional speed, as a consequence of the E=mc2 equation. Would that mean that the object appeared to gather mass from certain points of observation but not others? Strange.

  • Anonymous

    ‘Tim Gatt
    Tories have published “Fifty-Two Weeks of Weakness” – a dossier on Ed Miliband’s 1st year as Labour leader. An unwelcome anniversary present’

    Having seen Jim Murphy conduct a review of MOD procurement as Shadow Defence Minister. Its interesting that he could see very quickly how weak Labour were in this area after their appalling management in this department, and has sought to negate this by having a review of his own. And yet Ed Balls and Ed Miliband have not felt the same need to address the economic weakness in Labour’s legacy despite this being the single biggest factor that will dominant political debate for at least a generation to come.

  • Jeffreymtodd

    Labour in 2009
    “Forget about this Government, global events are causing the economy to crash.”
    Labour in 2011
    “Forget about global events, this Government is causing the economy to crash.”

    Plus ca change, plus ca meme chose…….