Well done ICM and Populus

Well done ICM and Populus

It’s humble pie time for me

A couple of days ago I raised the issue of the don’t know adjustments used by Populus and ICM and implied that this might be having a distorting effect on their final polls.

In both cases it was their adjustments for the don’t knows which made them more right – a key factor that enabled them to be in first and second position in the polling accuracy league table. They deserve to be congratulated. Well done guys.

I said I’d “eat hiumble pie” if I was wrong and this post is my way of doing just that.

I’ll be doing a further post on the polling and the spectacular exit poll which everybody seemed to be doubting when it came out at 10pm on Thursday night.

Mike Smithson

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